Mercedes holds a slim 50% implied probability edge as trader consensus for the first-scoring constructor at the Miami Grand Prix, with Alpine, Aston Martin, Williams, Audi Revolut, Cadillac, Ferrari, Tgr Haas, Mclaren Mastercard, Red Bull, and Racing Bulls clustered tightly at 49.5%, underscoring a highly competitive grid ahead of Sprint Qualifying. Recent FIA-approved 2026 regulation tweaks debuting this weekend—increased super clipping to 350kW, enhanced low-power start detection for safer launches, and qualifying adjustments to promote flat-out laps—introduce uncertainty by refining energy deployment on the demanding Miami street circuit. Mercedes dominates constructors standings at 135 points, but Ferrari's extensive upgrade package and McLaren's major floor revisions signal rivals poised to challenge, especially sans practice data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRacing Bulls 89%
Mercedes 62%
Audi Revolut 45%
Tgr Haas 43%
Racing Bulls
89%
Mercedes
62%
Audi Revolut
45%
Tgr Haas
43%
Alpine
42%
Mclaren Mastercard
25%
Ferrari
9%
Red Bull
13%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
Racing Bulls 89%
Mercedes 62%
Audi Revolut 45%
Tgr Haas 43%
Racing Bulls
89%
Mercedes
62%
Audi Revolut
45%
Tgr Haas
43%
Alpine
42%
Mclaren Mastercard
25%
Ferrari
9%
Red Bull
13%
Aston Martin
10%
Williams
10%
Cadillac
10%
In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve.
If the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 10, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Resolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mercedes holds a slim 50% implied probability edge as trader consensus for the first-scoring constructor at the Miami Grand Prix, with Alpine, Aston Martin, Williams, Audi Revolut, Cadillac, Ferrari, Tgr Haas, Mclaren Mastercard, Red Bull, and Racing Bulls clustered tightly at 49.5%, underscoring a highly competitive grid ahead of Sprint Qualifying. Recent FIA-approved 2026 regulation tweaks debuting this weekend—increased super clipping to 350kW, enhanced low-power start detection for safer launches, and qualifying adjustments to promote flat-out laps—introduce uncertainty by refining energy deployment on the demanding Miami street circuit. Mercedes dominates constructors standings at 135 points, but Ferrari's extensive upgrade package and McLaren's major floor revisions signal rivals poised to challenge, especially sans practice data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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