Tight trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Bundesliga relegation scrap at Millerntor-Stadion, with 1. FSV Mainz 05 marginally favored at 36% over hosts FC St. Pauli (35.5%) and draw (28.5%), driven by both sides' middling recent form amid mounting injury woes. St. Pauli, 16th in the table, benefit from home advantage but lost key winger Mathias Pereira Lage to a complex knee injury in training last week, joining James Sands (out for season, ankle) and striker Ricky-Jade Jones (syndesmotic tear). Mainz, battling their own absences—defender Maxim Leitsch (hamstring), midfielder Jae-sung Lee (toe), and forwards Silas (ankle), Benedict Hollerbach (Achilles)—edged the reverse fixture 2-0 in December, yet poor away record keeps probabilities bunched. Head-to-head history leans Mainz (6 wins to St. Pauli's 2), underscoring the high-stakes equilibrium.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tight trader consensus reflects a razor-thin Bundesliga relegation scrap at Millerntor-Stadion, with 1. FSV Mainz 05 marginally favored at 36% over hosts FC St. Pauli (35.5%) and draw (28.5%), driven by both sides' middling recent form amid mounting injury woes. St. Pauli, 16th in the table, benefit from home advantage but lost key winger Mathias Pereira Lage to a complex knee injury in training last week, joining James Sands (out for season, ankle) and striker Ricky-Jade Jones (syndesmotic tear). Mainz, battling their own absences—defender Maxim Leitsch (hamstring), midfielder Jae-sung Lee (toe), and forwards Silas (ankle), Benedict Hollerbach (Achilles)—edged the reverse fixture 2-0 in December, yet poor away record keeps probabilities bunched. Head-to-head history leans Mainz (6 wins to St. Pauli's 2), underscoring the high-stakes equilibrium.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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