Trader consensus on the draw at 100% implied probability stems from yesterday's Bundesliga Matchday 30 clash at Millerntor-Stadion, where FC St. Pauli took a 69th-minute lead through Karol Mets' close-range header, only for 1. FC Köln to salvage a point via Waldschmidt's dramatic 86th-minute penalty in this pivotal relegation six-pointer. St. Pauli sit 16th and Köln 13th in the table, with both teams pushing hard through eight minutes of added time but failing to break the deadlock, echoing their earlier 1-1 stalemate in December 2025 and Köln's historical head-to-head edge. Realistic challenges include rare post-match overturns from official league review, VAR adjustments, or disciplinary rulings altering the confirmed 1-1 scoreline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the draw at 100% implied probability stems from yesterday's Bundesliga Matchday 30 clash at Millerntor-Stadion, where FC St. Pauli took a 69th-minute lead through Karol Mets' close-range header, only for 1. FC Köln to salvage a point via Waldschmidt's dramatic 86th-minute penalty in this pivotal relegation six-pointer. St. Pauli sit 16th and Köln 13th in the table, with both teams pushing hard through eight minutes of added time but failing to break the deadlock, echoing their earlier 1-1 stalemate in December 2025 and Köln's historical head-to-head edge. Realistic challenges include rare post-match overturns from official league review, VAR adjustments, or disciplinary rulings altering the confirmed 1-1 scoreline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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