Traders price a Mainz 05 home win at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting their superior Bundesliga table position (10th vs. Union's 13th), recent 2-1 victory over St. Pauli at MEWA Arena, and home form edge despite Union's strong head-to-head record—unbeaten in the last nine meetings (5W, 4D). Union's 2-2 draw at Köln extended their unbeaten survival run, securing relegation safety alongside Mainz, but season-ending thigh injury to goalkeeper Frederik Rønnow forces a backup into action, alongside doubts over Robert Skov (calf) and Woo-Yeong Jeong (knock). Mainz misses Maxim Leitsch (muscle) and others, yet recent momentum and no stakes favor the hosts in this low-pressure finale, with draw at 24% viable given defensive histories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLive
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Esports
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If 1. FC Union Berlin wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026
If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nadiem Amiri is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 10 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 win the game by 2 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin" if 1. FC Union Berlin win the game by 2 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 win the game by 3 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin" if 1. FC Union Berlin win the game by 3 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nelson Weiper is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 8 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026
If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin combine to score 2 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Armindo Sieb is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 9 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin each score at least one goal during the game.
This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals).
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabio Moreno Fell is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 11 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Paul Nebel is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 12 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 12, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if William Boving is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilyas Ansah is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dmytro Bogdanov is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Livan Burcu is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sota Kawasaki is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeong Woo-yeong is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Traders price a Mainz 05 home win at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting their superior Bundesliga table position (10th vs. Union's 13th), recent 2-1 victory over St. Pauli at MEWA Arena, and home form edge despite Union's strong head-to-head record—unbeaten in the last nine meetings (5W, 4D). Union's 2-2 draw at Köln extended their unbeaten survival run, securing relegation safety alongside Mainz, but season-ending thigh injury to goalkeeper Frederik Rønnow forces a backup into action, alongside doubts over Robert Skov (calf) and Woo-Yeong Jeong (knock). Mainz misses Maxim Leitsch (muscle) and others, yet recent momentum and no stakes favor the hosts in this low-pressure finale, with draw at 24% viable given defensive histories.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026
If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$28,613End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If 1. FC Union Berlin wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026
If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nadiem Amiri is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 10 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 win the game by 2 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin" if 1. FC Union Berlin win the game by 2 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 win the game by 3 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin" if 1. FC Union Berlin win the game by 3 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1. FSV Mainz 05".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nelson Weiper is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 8 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026
If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin combine to score 2 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Armindo Sieb is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 9 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10 at 1:30 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin each score at least one goal during the game.
This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals).
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fabio Moreno Fell is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 11 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Paul Nebel is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 12 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 12, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if William Boving is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ilyas Ansah is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dmytro Bogdanov is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Livan Burcu is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sota Kawasaki is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeong Woo-yeong is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Traders price a Mainz 05 home win at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting their superior Bundesliga table position (10th vs. Union's 13th), recent 2-1 victory over St. Pauli at MEWA Arena, and home form edge despite Union's strong head-to-head record—unbeaten in the last nine meetings (5W, 4D). Union's 2-2 draw at Köln extended their unbeaten survival run, securing relegation safety alongside Mainz, but season-ending thigh injury to goalkeeper Frederik Rønnow forces a backup into action, alongside doubts over Robert Skov (calf) and Woo-Yeong Jeong (knock). Mainz misses Maxim Leitsch (muscle) and others, yet recent momentum and no stakes favor the hosts in this low-pressure finale, with draw at 24% viable given defensive histories.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026
If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$28,613End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price a Mainz 05 home win at 55.5% implied probability, reflecting their superior Bundesliga table position (10th vs. Union's 13th), recent 2-1 victory over St. Pauli at MEWA Arena, and home form edge despite Union's strong head-to-head record—unbeaten in the last nine meetings (5W, 4D). Union's 2-2 draw at Köln extended their unbeaten survival run, securing relegation safety alongside Mainz, but season-ending thigh injury to goalkeeper Frederik Rønnow forces a backup into action, alongside doubts over Robert Skov (calf) and Woo-Yeong Jeong (knock). Mainz misses Maxim Leitsch (muscle) and others, yet recent momentum and no stakes favor the hosts in this low-pressure finale, with draw at 24% viable given defensive histories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions