Trader consensus prices Brian Campbell, Aldrich Potgieter, Xander Schauffele, and Adam Scott at 50.5% implied probabilities to win the Truist Championship at Quail Hollow Club, reflecting a tightly contested signature event field with no dominant favorite amid parity in driving distance, strokes gained: approach, and course fit on the demanding par-71 layout. Campbell and Potgieter enter with fresh momentum from their recent Mexico Open playoff—where Campbell claimed his first PGA Tour victory—boosting sentiment in the past week, while Schauffele's elite iron play and Scott's steady ball-striking match the venue's emphasis on accuracy off the tee. World No. 2 Rory McIlroy's return post-Masters win and strong Quail Hollow history (multiple victories nearby) adds pressure, but the top-50-heavy field, finalized May 1, keeps odds bunched as historical upsets and variable greens in regulation create upset potential for the May 6-10 event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCollin Morikawa 50%
Aldrich Potgieter 50%
Xander Schauffele 50%
Adam Scott 50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Aldrich Potgieter
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Ludvig Aberg
49%
Daniel Berger
49%
Akshay Bhatia
49%
Keegan Bradley
49%
Sam Burns
49%
Patrick Cantlay
49%
Corey Conners
49%
Jason Day
49%
Nicolas Echavarria
49%
Harris English
49%
Tony Finau
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Rickie Fowler
49%
Ryan Fox
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Lucas Glover
49%
J.J. Spaun
49%
Jordan Spieth
49%
Sam Stevens
49%
Sepp Straka
49%
Nick Taylor
49%
Sahith Theegala
49%
Justin Thomas
49%
Jhonattan Vegas
49%
Matt Wallace
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Cameron Young
49%
Webb Simpson
49%
Andrew Putnam
49%
Ben Griffin
49%
Brian Harman
49%
Ryo Hisatsune
49%
Tom Hoge
49%
Nicolai Hojgaard
49%
Max Homa
49%
Viktor Hovland
49%
Mackenzie Hughes
49%
Sung-Jae Im
49%
Michael Kim
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Kurt Kitayama
49%
Jake Knapp
49%
Min Woo Lee
49%
David Lipsky
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Hideki Matsuyama
49%
Denny McCarthy
49%
Rory McIlroy
49%
Maverick McNealy
49%
Alexander Noren
49%
Andrew Novak
49%
Taylor Pendrith
49%
JT Poston
49%
Patrick Rodgers
49%
Justin Rose
49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Pierceson Coody
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Alex Fitzpatrick
49%
Ryan Gerard
49%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
49%
Kristoffer Reitan
49%
Harry Hall
48%
Matt McCarty
48%
Brian Campbell
47%
Austin Smotherman
47%
Jacob Bridgeman
47%
Ricky Castillo
47%
Chandler Blanchet
46%
Collin Morikawa 50%
Aldrich Potgieter 50%
Xander Schauffele 50%
Adam Scott 50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Aldrich Potgieter
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Ludvig Aberg
49%
Daniel Berger
49%
Akshay Bhatia
49%
Keegan Bradley
49%
Sam Burns
49%
Patrick Cantlay
49%
Corey Conners
49%
Jason Day
49%
Nicolas Echavarria
49%
Harris English
49%
Tony Finau
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Rickie Fowler
49%
Ryan Fox
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Lucas Glover
49%
J.J. Spaun
49%
Jordan Spieth
49%
Sam Stevens
49%
Sepp Straka
49%
Nick Taylor
49%
Sahith Theegala
49%
Justin Thomas
49%
Jhonattan Vegas
49%
Matt Wallace
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Cameron Young
49%
Webb Simpson
49%
Andrew Putnam
49%
Ben Griffin
49%
Brian Harman
49%
Ryo Hisatsune
49%
Tom Hoge
49%
Nicolai Hojgaard
49%
Max Homa
49%
Viktor Hovland
49%
Mackenzie Hughes
49%
Sung-Jae Im
49%
Michael Kim
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Kurt Kitayama
49%
Jake Knapp
49%
Min Woo Lee
49%
David Lipsky
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Hideki Matsuyama
49%
Denny McCarthy
49%
Rory McIlroy
49%
Maverick McNealy
49%
Alexander Noren
49%
Andrew Novak
49%
Taylor Pendrith
49%
JT Poston
49%
Patrick Rodgers
49%
Justin Rose
49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Pierceson Coody
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Alex Fitzpatrick
49%
Ryan Gerard
49%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
49%
Kristoffer Reitan
49%
Harry Hall
48%
Matt McCarty
48%
Brian Campbell
47%
Austin Smotherman
47%
Jacob Bridgeman
47%
Ricky Castillo
47%
Chandler Blanchet
46%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Truist Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Truist Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by May 16, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Truist Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Truist Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by May 16, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Brian Campbell, Aldrich Potgieter, Xander Schauffele, and Adam Scott at 50.5% implied probabilities to win the Truist Championship at Quail Hollow Club, reflecting a tightly contested signature event field with no dominant favorite amid parity in driving distance, strokes gained: approach, and course fit on the demanding par-71 layout. Campbell and Potgieter enter with fresh momentum from their recent Mexico Open playoff—where Campbell claimed his first PGA Tour victory—boosting sentiment in the past week, while Schauffele's elite iron play and Scott's steady ball-striking match the venue's emphasis on accuracy off the tee. World No. 2 Rory McIlroy's return post-Masters win and strong Quail Hollow history (multiple victories nearby) adds pressure, but the top-50-heavy field, finalized May 1, keeps odds bunched as historical upsets and variable greens in regulation create upset potential for the May 6-10 event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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