Skip to main content
icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick
Sports·2026 NBA Draft

2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick

icon for 2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick
Sports·2026 NBA Draft

2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick

Caleb Wilson 76%

Cameron Boozer 15%

Darryn Peterson 4.0%

Darius Acuff Jr. 3.9%

Polymarket

$144,522 Vol.

Caleb Wilson 76%

Cameron Boozer 15%

Darryn Peterson 4.0%

Darius Acuff Jr. 3.9%

Polymarket

$144,522 Vol.

Caleb Wilson

$4,196 Vol.

76%

Cameron Boozer

$1,761 Vol.

15%

Darryn Peterson

$1,175 Vol.

4%

Darius Acuff Jr.

$2,589 Vol.

4%

Yaxel Lendeborg

$57,208 Vol.

1%

Kingston Flemings

$485 Vol.

<1%

Keaton Wagler

$361 Vol.

<1%

Hannes Steinbach

$32,145 Vol.

<1%

Karim Lopez

$900 Vol.

<1%

Will Quaintance

$329 Vol.

<1%

LaBaron Philon

$1,953 Vol.

<1%

AJ Dybantsa

$25,351 Vol.

<1%

Mikel Brown Jr.

$1,678 Vol.

<1%

Nate Ament

$266 Vol.

<1%

Bennett Stirtz

$14,134 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Caleb Wilson's emergence as the consensus favorite for the fourth overall selection stems primarily from his productive freshman season at North Carolina, where he averaged 19.8 points and 9.4 rebounds while earning Consensus Second-Team All-American honors before a late hand injury. Scouts highlight his elite athleticism, length (measured 6-9 with a 7-0 wingspan at the combine), and two-way upside as a power forward/center, contrasting with Cameron Boozer's more physical, high-IQ game at Duke. With the top three picks widely projected for AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, and Boozer, trader consensus reflects Wilson's fit for the Chicago Bulls and recent big-board stability placing him fourth among evaluators. Other names like Darius Acuff Jr. and Darryn Peterson trail due to positional fits and lower projected landing spots in current mocks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$144,522
End Date
Jun 24, 2026
Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Caleb Wilson's emergence as the consensus favorite for the fourth overall selection stems primarily from his productive freshman season at North Carolina, where he averaged 19.8 points and 9.4 rebounds while earning Consensus Second-Team All-American honors before a late hand injury. Scouts highlight his elite athleticism, length (measured 6-9 with a 7-0 wingspan at the combine), and two-way upside as a power forward/center, contrasting with Cameron Boozer's more physical, high-IQ game at Duke. With the top three picks widely projected for AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson, and Boozer, trader consensus reflects Wilson's fit for the Chicago Bulls and recent big-board stability placing him fourth among evaluators. Other names like Darius Acuff Jr. and Darryn Peterson trail due to positional fits and lower projected landing spots in current mocks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$144,522
End Date
Jun 24, 2026
Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 1:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is drafted fourth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by July 9, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Mikel Brown Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Will Mikel Brown Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

26%
icon for Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

56%
icon for Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

56%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Caleb Wilson" at 76%, followed by "Cameron Boozer" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" has generated $144.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" is "Caleb Wilson" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cameron Boozer" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NBA Draft: 4th Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.