Oklahoma City Thunder lead trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability after sweeping the Phoenix Suns 4-0 in the first round, fueled by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's postseason highs like 42 points in Game 3 and the team's elite defense and bench depth as the West's top seed with a 56-15 regular-season record. San Antonio Spurs sit second at 17.6% following their 4-1 upset of the Portland Trail Blazers—their first series win since 2017—driven by Victor Wembanyama's heroics and a 53-18 regular season that positioned them for a favorable path awaiting the Denver-Minnesota winner. Boston Celtics hold 12.8% amid a gritty 3-2 East series lead over Philadelphia, tested by Joel Embiid's outbursts, while Cleveland's strong first-round edge bolsters their 4.1% share; recent first-round resolutions highlight OKC's dominance and Spurs' momentum shaping the wisdom of crowds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOklahoma City Thunder 53%
San Antonio Spurs 17.6%
Boston Celtics 12.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 4.1%
$364,542,231 Vol.
$364,542,231 Vol.
Oklahoma City Thunder
53%
San Antonio Spurs
18%
Boston Celtics
13%
Cleveland Cavaliers
4%
Denver Nuggets
4%
New York Knicks
4%
Los Angeles Lakers
3%
Detroit Pistons
2%
Minnesota Timberwolves
1%
Orlando Magic
1%
Philadelphia 76ers
1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder 53%
San Antonio Spurs 17.6%
Boston Celtics 12.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 4.1%
$364,542,231 Vol.
$364,542,231 Vol.
Oklahoma City Thunder
53%
San Antonio Spurs
18%
Boston Celtics
13%
Cleveland Cavaliers
4%
Denver Nuggets
4%
New York Knicks
4%
Los Angeles Lakers
3%
Detroit Pistons
2%
Minnesota Timberwolves
1%
Orlando Magic
1%
Philadelphia 76ers
1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2025, 11:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma City Thunder lead trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability after sweeping the Phoenix Suns 4-0 in the first round, fueled by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's postseason highs like 42 points in Game 3 and the team's elite defense and bench depth as the West's top seed with a 56-15 regular-season record. San Antonio Spurs sit second at 17.6% following their 4-1 upset of the Portland Trail Blazers—their first series win since 2017—driven by Victor Wembanyama's heroics and a 53-18 regular season that positioned them for a favorable path awaiting the Denver-Minnesota winner. Boston Celtics hold 12.8% amid a gritty 3-2 East series lead over Philadelphia, tested by Joel Embiid's outbursts, while Cleveland's strong first-round edge bolsters their 4.1% share; recent first-round resolutions highlight OKC's dominance and Spurs' momentum shaping the wisdom of crowds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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