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2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner 46%

Carlos Alcaraz 25%

Novak Djokovic 7.9%

Jack Draper 7.8%

Polymarket

$1,425,723 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 46%

Carlos Alcaraz 25%

Novak Djokovic 7.9%

Jack Draper 7.8%

Polymarket

$1,425,723 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$7,634 Vol.

39%

Carlos Alcaraz

$8,285 Vol.

25%

Novak Djokovic

$124,573 Vol.

11%

Jack Draper

$37,189 Vol.

8%

Alexander Zverev

$14,750 Vol.

5%

Hubert Hurkacz

$150,010 Vol.

5%

Matteo Berrettini

$139,440 Vol.

5%

Daniil Medvedev

$10,289 Vol.

2%

Joao Fonseca

$91,020 Vol.

2%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$341,715 Vol.

2%

Jakub Mensik

$73,137 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$22,307 Vol.

1%

Arthur Fils

$52,722 Vol.

1%

Jiri Lehecka

$273,799 Vol.

1%

Ben Shelton

$40,979 Vol.

1%

Flavio Cobolli

$4,912 Vol.

12%

Lorenzo Musetti

$4,294 Vol.

1%

Taylor Fritz

$13,237 Vol.

1%

Frances Tiafoe

$4,942 Vol.

1%

Holger Rune

$4,364 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$3,671 Vol.

1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$2,454 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 38.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open men's title, driven by his ATP No. 1 ranking, near-flawless 28-2 season record, Miami Open hard-court victory, and recent Monte-Carlo Masters 1000 crown over Carlos Alcaraz that solidified his top position. Alcaraz follows at 24.5%, bolstered by his Australian Open 2026 triumph completing the career Grand Slam, though a wrist injury prompting his Madrid Open withdrawal tempers enthusiasm. Flavio Cobolli's 12.9% reflects his surge to career-high No. 13 and ongoing Madrid Masters quarterfinal push past Daniil Medvedev, signaling breakout potential. Novak Djokovic's 11.4% endures via three prior US Open wins and hard-court pedigree, despite a shoulder issue sidelining him in Madrid.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,425,723
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads trader consensus at 38.5% implied probability for the 2026 US Open men's title, driven by his ATP No. 1 ranking, near-flawless 28-2 season record, Miami Open hard-court victory, and recent Monte-Carlo Masters 1000 crown over Carlos Alcaraz that solidified his top position. Alcaraz follows at 24.5%, bolstered by his Australian Open 2026 triumph completing the career Grand Slam, though a wrist injury prompting his Madrid Open withdrawal tempers enthusiasm. Flavio Cobolli's 12.9% reflects his surge to career-high No. 13 and ongoing Madrid Masters quarterfinal push past Daniil Medvedev, signaling breakout potential. Novak Djokovic's 11.4% endures via three prior US Open wins and hard-court pedigree, despite a shoulder issue sidelining him in Madrid.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,425,723
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 39%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.