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Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion
Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

George Russell 42%

Kimi Antonelli 31.4%

Charles Leclerc 6.6%

Oscar Piastri 4.9%

Polymarket

$137,030,599 Vol.

George Russell 42%

Kimi Antonelli 31.4%

Charles Leclerc 6.6%

Oscar Piastri 4.9%

Polymarket

$137,030,599 Vol.

George Russell

$1,590,598 Vol.

42%

Kimi Antonelli

$2,804,972 Vol.

31%

Charles Leclerc

$2,602,370 Vol.

7%

Oscar Piastri

$1,534,046 Vol.

5%

Lewis Hamilton

$3,442,708 Vol.

5%

Max Verstappen

$1,641,385 Vol.

3%

Lando Norris

$1,801,915 Vol.

3%

Alexander Albon

$9,046,368 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$6,389,241 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$6,919,381 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$5,839,758 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$9,231,784 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$8,037,563 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$8,148,615 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$6,015,399 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$8,186,705 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$9,531,772 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$9,652,938 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$8,036,486 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$9,107,465 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$8,316,555 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$9,210,228 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Mercedes teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli command the F1 Drivers' Championship market, with Russell's 41.5% implied probability edging Antonelli's 31.4% amid their 1-2 finishes and combined dominance in the early 2026 standings—Antonelli leads at 72 points to Russell's 63 after four Grands Prix. Antonelli's back-to-back wins in China and Japan over the past two weeks have intensified the intra-team battle, serving as a wake-up call for Russell despite his Australian GP victory and strong qualifying record (22-5 head-to-head). Ferrari duo Charles Leclerc (49 points) and Lewis Hamilton lag, highlighting Mercedes' superior pace under new power unit rules, though rookie pressure on Antonelli and 18 races remaining keep the contest wide open ahead of Miami.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$137,030,599
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Mercedes teammates George Russell and Kimi Antonelli command the F1 Drivers' Championship market, with Russell's 41.5% implied probability edging Antonelli's 31.4% amid their 1-2 finishes and combined dominance in the early 2026 standings—Antonelli leads at 72 points to Russell's 63 after four Grands Prix. Antonelli's back-to-back wins in China and Japan over the past two weeks have intensified the intra-team battle, serving as a wake-up call for Russell despite his Australian GP victory and strong qualifying record (22-5 head-to-head). Ferrari duo Charles Leclerc (49 points) and Lewis Hamilton lag, highlighting Mercedes' superior pace under new power unit rules, though rookie pressure on Antonelli and 18 races remaining keep the contest wide open ahead of Miami.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$137,030,599
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Russell" at 42%, followed by "Kimi Antonelli" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $137 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "George Russell" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.