Spain and France lead trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title as the expanded 48-team tournament opens next week, driven by their elite FIFA rankings, deep attacking options, and proven knockout pedigree. Spain’s Euro 2024 success and emerging talents have kept them atop implied probabilities despite minor injury concerns, while France maintains strong positioning through squad versatility and consistent results in recent friendlies. England, Portugal, Argentina as defending champions, and Brazil follow closely, supported by strong recent form, experienced rosters, and favorable historical records in major competitions. The bunched probabilities among the top six reflect balanced strengths across Europe and South America, with no single side establishing clear dominance ahead of group-stage action.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 16.6%
España 16.0%
Inglaterra 11.5%
Portugal 9.3%
$1,556,498,206 Vol.
$1,556,498,206 Vol.

Francia
17%

España
16%

Inglaterra
11%

Portugal
9%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
8%

Alemania
5%

Países Bajos
4%

Noruega
3%

Bélgica
2%

Japón
2%

Colombia
2%

Marruecos
2%

Turquía
1%

USA
1%

Uruguay
1%

México
1%

Suiza
1%

Ecuador
1%

Croacia
1%

Senegal
1%

Austria
1%

Suecia
1%

Canadá
<1%

Costa de Marfil
<1%

Corea del Sur
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Escocia
<1%

Chequia
<1%

Egipto
<1%

Irán
<1%

Argelia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Nueva Zelanda
<1%

Haití
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%

Túnez
<1%

Uzbekistán
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Irak
<1%

Sudáfrica
<1%

RD del Congo
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
Francia 16.6%
España 16.0%
Inglaterra 11.5%
Portugal 9.3%
$1,556,498,206 Vol.
$1,556,498,206 Vol.

Francia
17%

España
16%

Inglaterra
11%

Portugal
9%

Argentina
9%

Brasil
8%

Alemania
5%

Países Bajos
4%

Noruega
3%

Bélgica
2%

Japón
2%

Colombia
2%

Marruecos
2%

Turquía
1%

USA
1%

Uruguay
1%

México
1%

Suiza
1%

Ecuador
1%

Croacia
1%

Senegal
1%

Austria
1%

Suecia
1%

Canadá
<1%

Costa de Marfil
<1%

Corea del Sur
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Escocia
<1%

Chequia
<1%

Egipto
<1%

Irán
<1%

Argelia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Nueva Zelanda
<1%

Haití
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%

Túnez
<1%

Uzbekistán
<1%

Panamá
<1%

Irak
<1%

Sudáfrica
<1%

RD del Congo
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France lead trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup title as the expanded 48-team tournament opens next week, driven by their elite FIFA rankings, deep attacking options, and proven knockout pedigree. Spain’s Euro 2024 success and emerging talents have kept them atop implied probabilities despite minor injury concerns, while France maintains strong positioning through squad versatility and consistent results in recent friendlies. England, Portugal, Argentina as defending champions, and Brazil follow closely, supported by strong recent form, experienced rosters, and favorable historical records in major competitions. The bunched probabilities among the top six reflect balanced strengths across Europe and South America, with no single side establishing clear dominance ahead of group-stage action.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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