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Deportes·Fútbol

Ganador de la Copa del Mundo

icon for Ganador de la Copa del Mundo
Deportes·Fútbol

Ganador de la Copa del Mundo

Francia 16.6%

España 16.0%

Inglaterra 11.5%

Portugal 9.3%

Polymarket

$1,556,498,206 Vol.

Francia 16.6%

España 16.0%

Inglaterra 11.5%

Portugal 9.3%

Polymarket

$1,556,498,206 Vol.

icon for Francia

Francia

$36,295,664 Vol.

17%

icon for España

España

$29,307,353 Vol.

16%

icon for Inglaterra

Inglaterra

$25,012,970 Vol.

11%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$30,110,983 Vol.

9%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$26,548,387 Vol.

9%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$26,833,147 Vol.

8%

icon for Alemania

Alemania

$26,759,865 Vol.

5%

icon for Países Bajos

Países Bajos

$29,670,761 Vol.

4%

icon for Noruega

Noruega

$30,337,603 Vol.

3%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$26,879,785 Vol.

2%

icon for Japón

Japón

$31,952,888 Vol.

2%

icon for Colombia

Colombia

$25,961,449 Vol.

2%

icon for Marruecos

Marruecos

$33,512,780 Vol.

2%

icon for Turquía

Turquía

$28,386,046 Vol.

1%

icon for USA

USA

$44,975,749 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguay

Uruguay

$28,150,474 Vol.

1%

icon for México

México

$33,488,335 Vol.

1%

icon for Suiza

Suiza

$28,226,798 Vol.

1%

icon for Ecuador

Ecuador

$34,048,488 Vol.

1%

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$36,585,037 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$28,094,716 Vol.

1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$32,839,353 Vol.

1%

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$19,934,702 Vol.

1%

icon for Canadá

Canadá

$32,980,772 Vol.

<1%

icon for Costa de Marfil

Costa de Marfil

$44,930,839 Vol.

<1%

icon for Corea del Sur

Corea del Sur

$36,867,858 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ghana

Ghana

$28,867,757 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

$16,853,412 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguay

Paraguay

$29,755,733 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escocia

Escocia

$34,353,080 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chequia

Chequia

$15,859,767 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egipto

Egipto

$34,234,309 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irán

Irán

$35,043,500 Vol.

<1%

icon for Argelia

Argelia

$30,702,312 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$41,246,723 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nueva Zelanda

Nueva Zelanda

$44,921,407 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haití

Haití

$30,954,157 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jordania

Jordania

$30,509,369 Vol.

<1%

icon for Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao

Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao

$40,640,059 Vol.

<1%

icon for Túnez

Túnez

$30,357,499 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbekistán

Uzbekistán

$55,431,282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panamá

Panamá

$18,373,597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irak

Irak

$27,206,617 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sudáfrica

Sudáfrica

$34,172,113 Vol.

<1%

icon for RD del Congo

RD del Congo

$42,931,114 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde

$38,556,948 Vol.

<1%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$40,553,751 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$42,642,289 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity due to their exceptional squad depth, recent major tournament pedigree, and favorable draws in the expanded 48-team field. Spain enters as recent European champions with an unbeaten run in regulation time stretching back over two years, anchored by emerging talents despite minor fitness questions around key attackers. France counters with a balanced roster under experienced management, strong defensive organization, and proven knockout-stage resilience from prior cycles. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit tightly grouped behind them on the strength of elite individual quality, solid qualifying campaigns, and historical success, while Germany and the Netherlands round out the top tier with renewed momentum. This clustering reflects broad trader consensus on a highly competitive elite group where small edges in form, injuries, or matchups could shift probabilities rapidly before the June kickoff.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,556,498,206
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity due to their exceptional squad depth, recent major tournament pedigree, and favorable draws in the expanded 48-team field. Spain enters as recent European champions with an unbeaten run in regulation time stretching back over two years, anchored by emerging talents despite minor fitness questions around key attackers. France counters with a balanced roster under experienced management, strong defensive organization, and proven knockout-stage resilience from prior cycles. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil sit tightly grouped behind them on the strength of elite individual quality, solid qualifying campaigns, and historical success, while Germany and the Netherlands round out the top tier with renewed momentum. This clustering reflects broad trader consensus on a highly competitive elite group where small edges in form, injuries, or matchups could shift probabilities rapidly before the June kickoff.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,556,498,206
Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la Copa del Mundo " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 50+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Francia" con 17%, seguido de "España" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la Copa del Mundo " ha generado $1.6 billion en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 2, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la Copa del Mundo ", explora los 50+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la Copa del Mundo " es "Francia" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "España" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la Copa del Mundo " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.