Recent diplomatic progress between the United States and Iran on reopening the Strait of Hormuz has emerged as the dominant driver of WTI crude prices heading into the week of June 15, 2026. Hopes for an interim agreement easing sanctions and restoring flows triggered a sharp selloff, with July WTI futures settling near $84.88 on June 12 after dropping more than 3% amid canceled military actions and reports of potential naval de-escalation. This contrasts with EIA assumptions of sustained disruptions through midyear that would support Brent averages near $105 per barrel, while massive global inventory draws of 6.3 million barrels per day in the second quarter and backwardation in the futures curve reflect near-term tightness giving way to expected normalization. Traders will monitor weekly EIA inventory releases, any final diplomatic signals, and OPEC’s World Oil Outlook launch on June 18 for further cues on supply restoration and price direction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado↑ $115
16%
↑ $110
21%
↑ $105
26%
↑ $100
26%
↑ $95
49%
↑ $90
55%
↑ $85
85%
↓ $80
61%
↓ $75
26%
↓ $70
26%
↓ $65
16%
↓ $60
14%
↓ $55
11%
↓ $50
6%
$41 Vol.
↑ $115
16%
↑ $110
21%
↑ $105
26%
↑ $100
26%
↑ $95
49%
↑ $90
55%
↑ $85
85%
↓ $80
61%
↓ $75
26%
↓ $70
26%
↓ $65
16%
↓ $60
14%
↓ $55
11%
↓ $50
6%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic progress between the United States and Iran on reopening the Strait of Hormuz has emerged as the dominant driver of WTI crude prices heading into the week of June 15, 2026. Hopes for an interim agreement easing sanctions and restoring flows triggered a sharp selloff, with July WTI futures settling near $84.88 on June 12 after dropping more than 3% amid canceled military actions and reports of potential naval de-escalation. This contrasts with EIA assumptions of sustained disruptions through midyear that would support Brent averages near $105 per barrel, while massive global inventory draws of 6.3 million barrels per day in the second quarter and backwardation in the futures curve reflect near-term tightness giving way to expected normalization. Traders will monitor weekly EIA inventory releases, any final diplomatic signals, and OPEC’s World Oil Outlook launch on June 18 for further cues on supply restoration and price direction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes