Market-implied probabilities for S&P 500 levels in the week of June 15, 2026, reflect trader focus on the Federal Reserve's latest policy signals and incoming economic data. June CPI and employment figures, alongside any revisions to prior months, shape expectations for rate paths and Treasury yield movements. Equity markets price in corporate earnings trends, with particular attention to technology and financial sector results relative to analyst estimates. Recent volatility measures and index levels provide historical context, while upcoming releases on retail sales and industrial production represent near-term catalysts that could alter positioning ahead of resolution. Aggregated capital at risk on Polymarket captures this consensus amid ongoing uncertainty in growth and inflation trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado↑ $775
12%
↑ $770
22%
↑ $765
31%
↑ $760
50%
↑ $755
76%
↑ $750
87%
↑ $745
94%
↓ $740
29%
↓ $735
37%
↓ $730
26%
↓ $725
18%
↓ $720
14%
↓ $715
7%
↓ $710
5%
$1,085 Vol.
↑ $775
12%
↑ $770
22%
↑ $765
31%
↑ $760
50%
↑ $755
76%
↑ $750
87%
↑ $745
94%
↓ $740
29%
↓ $735
37%
↓ $730
26%
↓ $725
18%
↓ $720
14%
↓ $715
7%
↓ $710
5%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Market-implied probabilities for S&P 500 levels in the week of June 15, 2026, reflect trader focus on the Federal Reserve's latest policy signals and incoming economic data. June CPI and employment figures, alongside any revisions to prior months, shape expectations for rate paths and Treasury yield movements. Equity markets price in corporate earnings trends, with particular attention to technology and financial sector results relative to analyst estimates. Recent volatility measures and index levels provide historical context, while upcoming releases on retail sales and industrial production represent near-term catalysts that could alter positioning ahead of resolution. Aggregated capital at risk on Polymarket captures this consensus amid ongoing uncertainty in growth and inflation trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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