Russian forces conducted incremental advances in the Dobropillia sector of Donetsk Oblast during late April 2026, entering southern outskirts of Novopavlivka and pushing toward Belitske and Dorozhnoe amid positional fighting, per frontline reports from both sides. Ukrainian units, including the First Corps Azov Brigade, repelled assaults on April 30, reporting 1,723 irreversible Russian personnel losses for the month alongside destroyed tanks, artillery, and fortifications, with special operations capturing enemy soldiers. Dobropillia remains under Ukrainian control, though evacuations persist due to intense shelling and drone threats. Earlier reduced Russian intensity noted by ISW has given way to renewed pressure, sustaining trader focus on attrition rates, supply lines, and potential breakthroughs before summer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Rusia entrará en Dobropillia por...?
¿Rusia entrará en Dobropillia por...?
$84,211 Vol.
31 de mayo
13%
June 30
16%
$84,211 Vol.
31 de mayo
13%
June 30
16%
This market refers to the city of Dobropillia (48.47, 37.08), which borders Sviatohorivka and Hannivka. Other Ukrainian towns/cities named Dobropillia will not be considered for resolution.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Dobropillia is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market refers to the city of Dobropillia (48.47, 37.08), which borders Sviatohorivka and Hannivka. Other Ukrainian towns/cities named Dobropillia will not be considered for resolution.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Dobropillia is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces conducted incremental advances in the Dobropillia sector of Donetsk Oblast during late April 2026, entering southern outskirts of Novopavlivka and pushing toward Belitske and Dorozhnoe amid positional fighting, per frontline reports from both sides. Ukrainian units, including the First Corps Azov Brigade, repelled assaults on April 30, reporting 1,723 irreversible Russian personnel losses for the month alongside destroyed tanks, artillery, and fortifications, with special operations capturing enemy soldiers. Dobropillia remains under Ukrainian control, though evacuations persist due to intense shelling and drone threats. Earlier reduced Russian intensity noted by ISW has given way to renewed pressure, sustaining trader focus on attrition rates, supply lines, and potential breakthroughs before summer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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