Xi Jinping’s intensified anti-corruption campaign and emphasis on political loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to drive expectations of further high-level removals through 2026. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli capped a wave that has sidelined more than 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, emptying much of the CMC and prompting additional expulsions at the March Two Sessions. Early April probes targeting figures such as former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui extended scrutiny beyond the military. With the 21st Party Congress approaching in 2027 and Xi expected to pursue another term, ongoing discipline inspections and cadre assessments create recurring opportunities for purges of officials deemed insufficiently aligned. Trader focus centers on military and provincial elites as primary targets amid this sustained consolidation effort.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$172,555 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
9%
Li Xi
8%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Zhao Leji
6%
Wang Yi
6%
Wang Huning
12%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Li Qiang
4%
Cai Qi
4%
$172,555 Vol.
Dong Jun
$35,345 Vol.
9%
Li Xi
$25,863 Vol.
8%
Zhang Shengmin
$22,771 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$7,525 Vol.
6%
Wang Yi
$12,880 Vol.
6%
Wang Huning
$10,806 Vol.
12%
Ding Xuexiang
$14,818 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$5,999 Vol.
4%
Cai Qi
$36,547 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s intensified anti-corruption campaign and emphasis on political loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to drive expectations of further high-level removals through 2026. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli capped a wave that has sidelined more than 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, emptying much of the CMC and prompting additional expulsions at the March Two Sessions. Early April probes targeting figures such as former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui extended scrutiny beyond the military. With the 21st Party Congress approaching in 2027 and Xi expected to pursue another term, ongoing discipline inspections and cadre assessments create recurring opportunities for purges of officials deemed insufficiently aligned. Trader focus centers on military and provincial elites as primary targets amid this sustained consolidation effort.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$172,555Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s intensified anti-corruption campaign and emphasis on political loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to drive expectations of further high-level removals through 2026. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli capped a wave that has sidelined more than 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, emptying much of the CMC and prompting additional expulsions at the March Two Sessions. Early April probes targeting figures such as former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui extended scrutiny beyond the military. With the 21st Party Congress approaching in 2027 and Xi expected to pursue another term, ongoing discipline inspections and cadre assessments create recurring opportunities for purges of officials deemed insufficiently aligned. Trader focus centers on military and provincial elites as primary targets amid this sustained consolidation effort.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$172,555Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s intensified anti-corruption campaign and emphasis on political loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army continue to drive expectations of further high-level removals through 2026. The January 2026 investigations into Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli capped a wave that has sidelined more than 100 senior PLA officers since 2022, emptying much of the CMC and prompting additional expulsions at the March Two Sessions. Early April probes targeting figures such as former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui extended scrutiny beyond the military. With the 21st Party Congress approaching in 2027 and Xi expected to pursue another term, ongoing discipline inspections and cadre assessments create recurring opportunities for purges of officials deemed insufficiently aligned. Trader focus centers on military and provincial elites as primary targets amid this sustained consolidation effort.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes