Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no woman achieving a calendar Grand Slam in 2026 at 97.8% implied probability, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—unaccomplished in the Open Era since Steffi Graf's 1988 Golden Slam amid diverse surfaces from Australian Open hardcourts to French Open clay, Wimbledon grass, and US Open hardcourts. Elena Rybakina's 1.9% share stems from her Australian Open triumph over Aryna Sabalenka in January, her career-high No. 2 ranking, 27-5 record, and recent Porsche Tennis Grand Prix clay title in Stuttgart, signaling cross-surface threat as French Open nears with Swiatek and Sabalenka as top favorites. Realistic challenges require Rybakina injury-free dominance through Roland Garros qualifiers/draw volatility, potential upsets clearing her Wimbledon/US Open paths, though historical precedents underscore the near-insurmountable barriers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,570,112 Vol.
$1,570,112 Vol.
Ninguno
98%
Elena Rybakina
2%
$1,570,112 Vol.
$1,570,112 Vol.
Ninguno
98%
Elena Rybakina
2%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no woman achieving a calendar Grand Slam in 2026 at 97.8% implied probability, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—unaccomplished in the Open Era since Steffi Graf's 1988 Golden Slam amid diverse surfaces from Australian Open hardcourts to French Open clay, Wimbledon grass, and US Open hardcourts. Elena Rybakina's 1.9% share stems from her Australian Open triumph over Aryna Sabalenka in January, her career-high No. 2 ranking, 27-5 record, and recent Porsche Tennis Grand Prix clay title in Stuttgart, signaling cross-surface threat as French Open nears with Swiatek and Sabalenka as top favorites. Realistic challenges require Rybakina injury-free dominance through Roland Garros qualifiers/draw volatility, potential upsets clearing her Wimbledon/US Open paths, though historical precedents underscore the near-insurmountable barriers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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