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Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
Política·Famosos

¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$618,296 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$618,296 Vol.

Polymarket
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Candace Owens

$302 Vol.

49%

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Cory Booker

$11,360 Vol.

46%

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Don Lemon

$6 Vol.

41%

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J.B. Pritzker

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22%

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Steve Bannon

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21%

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Liz Cheney

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20%

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Kamala Harris

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19%

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Mark Kelly

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17%

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$5,784 Vol.

16%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$30,278 Vol.

16%

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Rahm Emanuel

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16%

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Pete Buttigieg

$5,942 Vol.

16%

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Gavin Newsom

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15%

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John Fetterman

$4,720 Vol.

15%

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Rand Paul

$14,358 Vol.

15%

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Brian Kemp

$1,631 Vol.

14%

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Tucker Carlson

$10,754 Vol.

14%

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Wes Moore

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14%

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Raphael Warnock

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13%

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Gretchen Whitmer

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13%

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Ivanka Trump

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12%

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12%

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Tulsi Gabbard

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12%

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12%

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Greg Abbott

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11%

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Tom Brady

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11%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

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11%

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Byron Donalds

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11%

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11%

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Stephen A. Smith

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11%

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11%

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J.D. Vance

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11%

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11%

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Ron DeSantis

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11%

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Jon Ossoff

$1,309 Vol.

10%

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Josh Hawley

$3,386 Vol.

10%

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10%

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10%

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10%

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10%

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10%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,159 Vol.

10%

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Kristi Noem

$19,596 Vol.

17%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$4,181 Vol.

9%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,395 Vol.

9%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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9%

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9%

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Roy Cooper

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8%

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8%

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8%

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Glenn Youngkin

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7%

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Gina Raimondo

$0 Vol.

9%

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6%

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Katie Britt

$20,228 Vol.

10%

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Phil Murphy

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10%

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Erika Kirk

$21,294 Vol.

6%

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Jon Stewart

$485 Vol.

6%

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$7,760 Vol.

5%

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$2,351 Vol.

5%

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Hunter Biden

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5%

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5%

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5%

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Michelle Obama

$10,690 Vol.

4%

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4%

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Zohran Mamdani

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4%

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Mike Pence

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4%

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Barack Obama

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3%

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Nikki Haley

$2,881 Vol.

3%

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MrBeast

$24,609 Vol.

2%

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Ted Cruz

$11,813 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Candace Owens at 50% implied probability to be the first to announce a 2028 presidential bid before year-end 2026, followed closely by Sen. Ted Cruz at 45% and Cory Booker at 40%, reflecting bets on high-profile outsiders over traditional politicians amid the early post-Trump reelection cycle. No candidates have officially declared yet, with recent Democratic teases—such as Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro's April 9 remarks signaling interest and Sen. Elissa Slotkin's Iowa comments not ruling out a run—boosting speculation without commitments. Establishment figures like Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hover around 15-16%, as traders anticipate delays until after 2026 midterms, when primaries and fundraising clarify the field. Late-breaking personal announcements could still shift odds rapidly.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$618,296
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Candace Owens at 50% implied probability to be the first to announce a 2028 presidential bid before year-end 2026, followed closely by Sen. Ted Cruz at 45% and Cory Booker at 40%, reflecting bets on high-profile outsiders over traditional politicians amid the early post-Trump reelection cycle. No candidates have officially declared yet, with recent Democratic teases—such as Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro's April 9 remarks signaling interest and Sen. Elissa Slotkin's Iowa comments not ruling out a run—boosting speculation without commitments. Establishment figures like Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hover around 15-16%, as traders anticipate delays until after 2026 midterms, when primaries and fundraising clarify the field. Late-breaking personal announcements could still shift odds rapidly.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$618,296
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 71+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Candace Owens" con 49%, seguido de "Cory Booker" con 46%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" ha generado $618.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 20, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?", explora los 71+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" es "Candace Owens" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Cory Booker" con 46%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién anunciará la candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.