Skip to main content
icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?
Geopolítica·Siria

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?

icon for ¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?
Geopolítica·Siria

¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?

jun 30

dic 31

jun 30

dic 31

$65,998 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$65,998 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Corea del Norte

Corea del Norte

$1,277 Vol.

5%

icon for Cuba

Cuba

$1,027 Vol.

11%

icon for Siria

Siria

$4,626 Vol.

11%

icon for Bangladesh

Bangladesh

$5,614 Vol.

9%

icon for Arabia Saudita

Arabia Saudita

$14,215 Vol.

11%

icon for Líbano

Líbano

$4,344 Vol.

18%

icon for Afganistán

Afganistán

$6,874 Vol.

7%

icon for Catar

Catar

$5,645 Vol.

11%

icon for Irak

Irak

$204 Vol.

7%

icon for Pakistán

Pakistán

$1,964 Vol.

6%

icon for Venezuela

Venezuela

$4,940 Vol.

19%

icon for Túnez

Túnez

$5,813 Vol.

7%

icon for Kuwait

Kuwait

$1,105 Vol.

10%

icon for Indonesia

Indonesia

$1,597 Vol.

12%

icon for Malasia

Malasia

$3,960 Vol.

5%

icon for Irán

Irán

$2,794 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains constrained by the unresolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict and regional security dynamics. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any recognition on establishment of a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025-2026 statements that have kept related probabilities low. Other potential candidates such as Lebanon, Sudan, Syria, and Venezuela face internal instability, Hezbollah influence, or prior Abraham Accords delays. Broader factors include U.S. diplomatic pressure, Iran-related tensions, and UNGA voting patterns on two-state resolutions. No major new recognitions have occurred since late 2025, with trader focus centered on whether conflict de-escalation or bilateral talks could produce movement before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$65,998
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains constrained by the unresolved Israeli-Palestinian conflict and regional security dynamics. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any recognition on establishment of a Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as capital, a stance reinforced in 2025-2026 statements that have kept related probabilities low. Other potential candidates such as Lebanon, Sudan, Syria, and Venezuela face internal instability, Hezbollah influence, or prior Abraham Accords delays. Broader factors include U.S. diplomatic pressure, Iran-related tensions, and UNGA voting patterns on two-state resolutions. No major new recognitions have occurred since late 2025, with trader focus centered on whether conflict de-escalation or bilateral talks could produce movement before year-end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$65,998
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 16 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Venezuela" con 19%, seguido de "Líbano" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 19¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" ha generado $66K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?", explora los 16 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" es "Venezuela" con 19%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Líbano" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué países reconocerán a Israel antes del 31 de diciembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.