Following the U.S. military operation capturing Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, the Trump administration formally recognized Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela's interim leader in March, lifting sanctions on her government in early April to support stability and economic recovery amid transition talks. This shift, prioritizing a managed handover over immediate opposition empowerment, has anchored trader consensus at 86.5% against U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as leader by December 31, despite her January White House meeting with President Trump and recent U.S. demands for electoral guarantees allowing her candidacy in upcoming polls. No official announcements have endorsed Machado's leadership claim, with focus remaining on coalition negotiations and preventing PSUV disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following the U.S. military operation capturing Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, the Trump administration formally recognized Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela's interim leader in March, lifting sanctions on her government in early April to support stability and economic recovery amid transition talks. This shift, prioritizing a managed handover over immediate opposition empowerment, has anchored trader consensus at 86.5% against U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as leader by December 31, despite her January White House meeting with President Trump and recent U.S. demands for electoral guarantees allowing her candidacy in upcoming polls. No official announcements have endorsed Machado's leadership claim, with focus remaining on coalition negotiations and preventing PSUV disruptions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volumen
$3,534Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Following the U.S. military operation capturing Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, the Trump administration formally recognized Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela's interim leader in March, lifting sanctions on her government in early April to support stability and economic recovery amid transition talks. This shift, prioritizing a managed handover over immediate opposition empowerment, has anchored trader consensus at 86.5% against U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as leader by December 31, despite her January White House meeting with President Trump and recent U.S. demands for electoral guarantees allowing her candidacy in upcoming polls. No official announcements have endorsed Machado's leadership claim, with focus remaining on coalition negotiations and preventing PSUV disruptions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$3,534Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following the U.S. military operation capturing Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, the Trump administration formally recognized Delcy Rodríguez as Venezuela's interim leader in March, lifting sanctions on her government in early April to support stability and economic recovery amid transition talks. This shift, prioritizing a managed handover over immediate opposition empowerment, has anchored trader consensus at 86.5% against U.S. recognition of Maria Corina Machado as leader by December 31, despite her January White House meeting with President Trump and recent U.S. demands for electoral guarantees allowing her candidacy in upcoming polls. No official announcements have endorsed Machado's leadership claim, with focus remaining on coalition negotiations and preventing PSUV disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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