Following the heated 1-1 first-leg draw in the UEFA Champions League semi-final at Atlético Madrid's Metropolitano—marred by VAR overturning a late Arsenal penalty claim—Mikel Arteta's Gunners hold 57.5% implied probability as home favorites for the May 5 second leg at Emirates Stadium. Arsenal's formidable home form, set-piece dominance, and earlier 4-0 league-phase win over Atlético fuel trader consensus, bolstered by a recent Premier League victory over Newcastle. Atlético face defensive woes with Pablo Barrios, Nico González, and José María Giménez sidelined, though Julián Álvarez is expected fit after his first-leg knock; the visitors' resilient away style keeps draw (24.5%) and upset (18.5%) viable in this evenly poised tie.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIf Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Following the heated 1-1 first-leg draw in the UEFA Champions League semi-final at Atlético Madrid's Metropolitano—marred by VAR overturning a late Arsenal penalty claim—Mikel Arteta's Gunners hold 57.5% implied probability as home favorites for the May 5 second leg at Emirates Stadium. Arsenal's formidable home form, set-piece dominance, and earlier 4-0 league-phase win over Atlético fuel trader consensus, bolstered by a recent Premier League victory over Newcastle. Atlético face defensive woes with Pablo Barrios, Nico González, and José María Giménez sidelined, though Julián Álvarez is expected fit after his first-leg knock; the visitors' resilient away style keeps draw (24.5%) and upset (18.5%) viable in this evenly poised tie.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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