**The market heavily favors a 14-15 million second weekend for the 2026 "Scary Movie" (76.5% implied probability), reflecting a steep projected drop from its franchise-record $55 million opening.** This aligns with early tracking showing roughly $15.6 million expected (around -71%), driven by mixed-to-negative critical reception (26% on Rotten Tomatoes) and only so-so audience scores that limited word-of-mouth. Historical franchise patterns of sharp sophomore drops, combined with summer competition and the R-rated parody's limited rewatch appeal, reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range. The low probabilities on higher brackets (under 1% each for 15-17M+) underscore expectations of limited holdover strength, while the <14M outcome (28.1%) captures downside risk if the drop exceeds forecasts. No major positive catalysts, such as strong social buzz or adjusted marketing, have emerged to shift momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Scary Movie"
Taquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Scary Movie"
14-15 millones 59.1%
<14m 23.2%
15-16 millones 2.6%
>17 millones 2.1%
$17,014 Vol.
$17,014 Vol.
15 jun 2026
<14m
23%
14-15 millones
59%
15-16 millones
3%
16-17 millones
2%
>17 millones
2%
14-15 millones 59.1%
<14m 23.2%
15-16 millones 2.6%
>17 millones 2.1%
$17,014 Vol.
$17,014 Vol.
15 jun 2026
<14m
$1,717 Vol.
23%
14-15 millones
$865 Vol.
59%
15-16 millones
$1,520 Vol.
3%
16-17 millones
$2,415 Vol.
2%
>17 millones
$10,506 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The market heavily favors a 14-15 million second weekend for the 2026 "Scary Movie" (76.5% implied probability), reflecting a steep projected drop from its franchise-record $55 million opening.**
This aligns with early tracking showing roughly $15.6 million expected (around -71%), driven by mixed-to-negative critical reception (26% on Rotten Tomatoes) and only so-so audience scores that limited word-of-mouth. Historical franchise patterns of sharp sophomore drops, combined with summer competition and the R-rated parody's limited rewatch appeal, reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range.
The low probabilities on higher brackets (under 1% each for 15-17M+) underscore expectations of limited holdover strength, while the <14M outcome (28.1%) captures downside risk if the drop exceeds forecasts. No major positive catalysts, such as strong social buzz or adjusted marketing, have emerged to shift momentum.
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Volumen
$17,014Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:59 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The market heavily favors a 14-15 million second weekend for the 2026 "Scary Movie" (76.5% implied probability), reflecting a steep projected drop from its franchise-record $55 million opening.**
This aligns with early tracking showing roughly $15.6 million expected (around -71%), driven by mixed-to-negative critical reception (26% on Rotten Tomatoes) and only so-so audience scores that limited word-of-mouth. Historical franchise patterns of sharp sophomore drops, combined with summer competition and the R-rated parody's limited rewatch appeal, reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range.
The low probabilities on higher brackets (under 1% each for 15-17M+) underscore expectations of limited holdover strength, while the <14M outcome (28.1%) captures downside risk if the drop exceeds forecasts. No major positive catalysts, such as strong social buzz or adjusted marketing, have emerged to shift momentum.
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$17,014Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:59 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market heavily favors a 14-15 million second weekend for the 2026 "Scary Movie" (76.5% implied probability), reflecting a steep projected drop from its franchise-record $55 million opening.** This aligns with early tracking showing roughly $15.6 million expected (around -71%), driven by mixed-to-negative critical reception (26% on Rotten Tomatoes) and only so-so audience scores that limited word-of-mouth. Historical franchise patterns of sharp sophomore drops, combined with summer competition and the R-rated parody's limited rewatch appeal, reinforce trader consensus around this narrow range. The low probabilities on higher brackets (under 1% each for 15-17M+) underscore expectations of limited holdover strength, while the <14M outcome (28.1%) captures downside risk if the drop exceeds forecasts. No major positive catalysts, such as strong social buzz or adjusted marketing, have emerged to shift momentum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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