**The dominant driver behind the 84.4% market-implied probability for a $14–15 million second weekend is the film’s steep projected drop from its $54–55 million opening.** Early tracking and Saturday-morning estimates from TheWrap peg the three-day domestic total near $15.6 million, reflecting a franchise-worst 71% decline. This aligns with the movie’s generally negative critical reception and the typical second-weekend falloff for R-rated horror-comedies that rely heavily on opening-weekend curiosity rather than sustained word-of-mouth. Historical franchise patterns and comparable recent releases further anchor trader expectations in the mid-teens range, while the slim odds on higher brackets reflect the low likelihood of meaningful holdover strength or positive audience shifts materializing before the weekend concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Scary Movie"
Taquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Scary Movie"
14-15 millones 85.3%
<14m 7.4%
15-16 millones 2.6%
16-17 millones <1%
$27,725 Vol.
$27,725 Vol.
15 jun 2026
<14m
7%
14-15 millones
85%
15-16 millones
3%
16-17 millones
1%
>17 millones
1%
14-15 millones 85.3%
<14m 7.4%
15-16 millones 2.6%
16-17 millones <1%
$27,725 Vol.
$27,725 Vol.
15 jun 2026
<14m
$4,571 Vol.
7%
14-15 millones
$2,843 Vol.
85%
15-16 millones
$2,005 Vol.
3%
16-17 millones
$2,891 Vol.
1%
>17 millones
$15,434 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The dominant driver behind the 84.4% market-implied probability for a $14–15 million second weekend is the film’s steep projected drop from its $54–55 million opening.** Early tracking and Saturday-morning estimates from TheWrap peg the three-day domestic total near $15.6 million, reflecting a franchise-worst 71% decline.
This aligns with the movie’s generally negative critical reception and the typical second-weekend falloff for R-rated horror-comedies that rely heavily on opening-weekend curiosity rather than sustained word-of-mouth. Historical franchise patterns and comparable recent releases further anchor trader expectations in the mid-teens range, while the slim odds on higher brackets reflect the low likelihood of meaningful holdover strength or positive audience shifts materializing before the weekend concludes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Volumen
$27,725Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:59 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**The dominant driver behind the 84.4% market-implied probability for a $14–15 million second weekend is the film’s steep projected drop from its $54–55 million opening.** Early tracking and Saturday-morning estimates from TheWrap peg the three-day domestic total near $15.6 million, reflecting a franchise-worst 71% decline.
This aligns with the movie’s generally negative critical reception and the typical second-weekend falloff for R-rated horror-comedies that rely heavily on opening-weekend curiosity rather than sustained word-of-mouth. Historical franchise patterns and comparable recent releases further anchor trader expectations in the mid-teens range, while the slim odds on higher brackets reflect the low likelihood of meaningful holdover strength or positive audience shifts materializing before the weekend concludes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Scary Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$27,725Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:59 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The dominant driver behind the 84.4% market-implied probability for a $14–15 million second weekend is the film’s steep projected drop from its $54–55 million opening.** Early tracking and Saturday-morning estimates from TheWrap peg the three-day domestic total near $15.6 million, reflecting a franchise-worst 71% decline. This aligns with the movie’s generally negative critical reception and the typical second-weekend falloff for R-rated horror-comedies that rely heavily on opening-weekend curiosity rather than sustained word-of-mouth. Historical franchise patterns and comparable recent releases further anchor trader expectations in the mid-teens range, while the slim odds on higher brackets reflect the low likelihood of meaningful holdover strength or positive audience shifts materializing before the weekend concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes