The April 30 deadline for a North Korean missile test or launch has passed without any reported activity in the preceding 11 days, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 95.9% on "No" amid rigorous real-time surveillance by South Korean, Japanese, and US militaries that detects virtually all launches. Pyongyang's most recent tests—multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 18-19, the seventh barrage of 2026 overseen by Kim Jong Un—have not been followed by escalation signals, possibly reflecting technical pauses, seasonal constraints, or calculated restraint amid global tensions including Middle East conflicts. While comprehensive monitoring underpins high confidence, realistic shifts could arise from delayed satellite confirmation of an undetected late-April launch or disputes over whether cruise versus ballistic activity qualifies under market resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Prueba/lanzamiento de misiles de Corea del Norte para el 30 de abril de 2026?
¿Prueba/lanzamiento de misiles de Corea del Norte para el 30 de abril de 2026?
Sí
$7,643 Vol.
$7,643 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Sí
$7,643 Vol.
$7,643 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.The April 30 deadline for a North Korean missile test or launch has passed without any reported activity in the preceding 11 days, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 95.9% on "No" amid rigorous real-time surveillance by South Korean, Japanese, and US militaries that detects virtually all launches. Pyongyang's most recent tests—multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 18-19, the seventh barrage of 2026 overseen by Kim Jong Un—have not been followed by escalation signals, possibly reflecting technical pauses, seasonal constraints, or calculated restraint amid global tensions including Middle East conflicts. While comprehensive monitoring underpins high confidence, realistic shifts could arise from delayed satellite confirmation of an undetected late-April launch or disputes over whether cruise versus ballistic activity qualifies under market resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Mercado abierto: Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
Volumen
$7,643Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.The April 30 deadline for a North Korean missile test or launch has passed without any reported activity in the preceding 11 days, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 95.9% on "No" amid rigorous real-time surveillance by South Korean, Japanese, and US militaries that detects virtually all launches. Pyongyang's most recent tests—multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 18-19, the seventh barrage of 2026 overseen by Kim Jong Un—have not been followed by escalation signals, possibly reflecting technical pauses, seasonal constraints, or calculated restraint amid global tensions including Middle East conflicts. While comprehensive monitoring underpins high confidence, realistic shifts could arise from delayed satellite confirmation of an undetected late-April launch or disputes over whether cruise versus ballistic activity qualifies under market resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volumen
$7,643Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The April 30 deadline for a North Korean missile test or launch has passed without any reported activity in the preceding 11 days, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 95.9% on "No" amid rigorous real-time surveillance by South Korean, Japanese, and US militaries that detects virtually all launches. Pyongyang's most recent tests—multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 18-19, the seventh barrage of 2026 overseen by Kim Jong Un—have not been followed by escalation signals, possibly reflecting technical pauses, seasonal constraints, or calculated restraint amid global tensions including Middle East conflicts. While comprehensive monitoring underpins high confidence, realistic shifts could arise from delayed satellite confirmation of an undetected late-April launch or disputes over whether cruise versus ballistic activity qualifies under market resolution criteria.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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