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icon for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Política·Elecciones En Israel

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

icon for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Política·Elecciones En Israel

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

13% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
13% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu dropping out of Israel's upcoming Knesset election by July 31, driven by recent polls showing Likud leading with 25-34 projected seats and his government bloc at 50-64 in late April surveys from Zman Israel, Kantar, and others. No official statements indicate withdrawal, as Netanyahu responds to opposition moves like Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid's April 26 joint list aimed at unseating him. The election remains scheduled by October 27 amid post-Iran war stabilization, with March budget passage stabilizing the coalition and talks of a potential July vote unconfirmed, reinforcing his resolve to lead Likud into the proportional representation contest.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$607
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 87.5% on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu dropping out of Israel's upcoming Knesset election by July 31, driven by recent polls showing Likud leading with 25-34 projected seats and his government bloc at 50-64 in late April surveys from Zman Israel, Kantar, and others. No official statements indicate withdrawal, as Netanyahu responds to opposition moves like Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid's April 26 joint list aimed at unseating him. The election remains scheduled by October 27 amid post-Iran war stabilization, with March budget passage stabilizing the coalition and talks of a potential July vote unconfirmed, reinforcing his resolve to lead Likud into the proportional representation contest.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$607
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 13% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 13¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 13% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" es 13% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 13% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.