Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward "No Prison Time" at 41.2% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer whose #MeToo downfall reshaped entertainment industry accountability, reflecting uncertainty amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial—now in its second week with key accuser Jessica Mann's recent testimony—and a pending sentence of up to 25 years on a separate 2006 sex crime conviction against Miriam Haley. Bolstering the frontrunner are his 2024 successful appeal overturning the original 23-year New York term, age 73 health crises including cancer and heart issues confining him to a wheelchair at Rikers Island, and a recent skeptical California appellate hearing on his 16-year rape sentence. The closely contested field underscores high volatility as the four-week trial progresses and appeals loom.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
Sin tiempo en prisión 41.1%
20-30 años 24.9%
Más de 30 años 13.3%
10-20 años 8.5%
$899,913 Vol.
$899,913 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
41%
<5 años
4%
5-10 años
5%
10-20 años
9%
20-30 años
25%
Más de 30 años
13%
Sin tiempo en prisión 41.1%
20-30 años 24.9%
Más de 30 años 13.3%
10-20 años 8.5%
$899,913 Vol.
$899,913 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
$325,673 Vol.
41%
<5 años
$117,666 Vol.
4%
5-10 años
$65,455 Vol.
5%
10-20 años
$145,949 Vol.
9%
20-30 años
$184,231 Vol.
25%
Más de 30 años
$60,938 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward "No Prison Time" at 41.2% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer whose #MeToo downfall reshaped entertainment industry accountability, reflecting uncertainty amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial—now in its second week with key accuser Jessica Mann's recent testimony—and a pending sentence of up to 25 years on a separate 2006 sex crime conviction against Miriam Haley. Bolstering the frontrunner are his 2024 successful appeal overturning the original 23-year New York term, age 73 health crises including cancer and heart issues confining him to a wheelchair at Rikers Island, and a recent skeptical California appellate hearing on his 16-year rape sentence. The closely contested field underscores high volatility as the four-week trial progresses and appeals loom.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$899,913Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward "No Prison Time" at 41.2% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer whose #MeToo downfall reshaped entertainment industry accountability, reflecting uncertainty amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial—now in its second week with key accuser Jessica Mann's recent testimony—and a pending sentence of up to 25 years on a separate 2006 sex crime conviction against Miriam Haley. Bolstering the frontrunner are his 2024 successful appeal overturning the original 23-year New York term, age 73 health crises including cancer and heart issues confining him to a wheelchair at Rikers Island, and a recent skeptical California appellate hearing on his 16-year rape sentence. The closely contested field underscores high volatility as the four-week trial progresses and appeals loom.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$899,913Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward "No Prison Time" at 41.2% implied probability for Harvey Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer whose #MeToo downfall reshaped entertainment industry accountability, reflecting uncertainty amid his ongoing third New York rape retrial—now in its second week with key accuser Jessica Mann's recent testimony—and a pending sentence of up to 25 years on a separate 2006 sex crime conviction against Miriam Haley. Bolstering the frontrunner are his 2024 successful appeal overturning the original 23-year New York term, age 73 health crises including cancer and heart issues confining him to a wheelchair at Rikers Island, and a recent skeptical California appellate hearing on his 16-year rape sentence. The closely contested field underscores high volatility as the four-week trial progresses and appeals loom.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes