Israeli naval forces intercepted over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla—the largest aid convoy yet—in international waters near Crete on April 29-30, detaining around 175 activists hundreds of miles from Gaza and enforcing the longstanding naval blockade. This preemptive action, consistent with Israel's historical prevention of prior flotillas like those from the Freedom Flotilla Coalition, has strengthened trader consensus implying a 66.5% probability against any boats entering Israeli territorial waters by May 31. While organizers report some vessels still at sea and international condemnation mounts, the Israeli military's rapid response underscores formidable barriers, though late developments like diplomatic interventions could shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La flotilla de Gaza entrará en aguas israelíes antes del 31 de mayo?
¿La flotilla de Gaza entrará en aguas israelíes antes del 31 de mayo?
Sí
$92,593 Vol.
$92,593 Vol.
31 may 2026
Sí
$92,593 Vol.
$92,593 Vol.
31 may 2026
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli naval forces intercepted over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla—the largest aid convoy yet—in international waters near Crete on April 29-30, detaining around 175 activists hundreds of miles from Gaza and enforcing the longstanding naval blockade. This preemptive action, consistent with Israel's historical prevention of prior flotillas like those from the Freedom Flotilla Coalition, has strengthened trader consensus implying a 66.5% probability against any boats entering Israeli territorial waters by May 31. While organizers report some vessels still at sea and international condemnation mounts, the Israeli military's rapid response underscores formidable barriers, though late developments like diplomatic interventions could shift dynamics.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Volumen
$92,593Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli naval forces intercepted over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla—the largest aid convoy yet—in international waters near Crete on April 29-30, detaining around 175 activists hundreds of miles from Gaza and enforcing the longstanding naval blockade. This preemptive action, consistent with Israel's historical prevention of prior flotillas like those from the Freedom Flotilla Coalition, has strengthened trader consensus implying a 66.5% probability against any boats entering Israeli territorial waters by May 31. While organizers report some vessels still at sea and international condemnation mounts, the Israeli military's rapid response underscores formidable barriers, though late developments like diplomatic interventions could shift dynamics.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$92,593Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli naval forces intercepted over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla—the largest aid convoy yet—in international waters near Crete on April 29-30, detaining around 175 activists hundreds of miles from Gaza and enforcing the longstanding naval blockade. This preemptive action, consistent with Israel's historical prevention of prior flotillas like those from the Freedom Flotilla Coalition, has strengthened trader consensus implying a 66.5% probability against any boats entering Israeli territorial waters by May 31. While organizers report some vessels still at sea and international condemnation mounts, the Israeli military's rapid response underscores formidable barriers, though late developments like diplomatic interventions could shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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