Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on charges including corruption, bribery, organized crime, and espionage, with prosecutors seeking sentences exceeding 2,000 years. Turkish authorities have kept the Istanbul mayor in Marmara Prison through the ongoing mass trial that began in early 2026, consistent with patterns of judicial action against prominent CHP opposition figures ahead of future elections. No official moves toward release or bail have occurred amid continued government emphasis on the case's gravity and opposition claims of political motivation. Traders price the 88% probability of no release by year-end around these structural barriers and the absence of recent developments that would alter the detention status before December 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on charges including corruption, bribery, organized crime, and espionage, with prosecutors seeking sentences exceeding 2,000 years. Turkish authorities have kept the Istanbul mayor in Marmara Prison through the ongoing mass trial that began in early 2026, consistent with patterns of judicial action against prominent CHP opposition figures ahead of future elections. No official moves toward release or bail have occurred amid continued government emphasis on the case's gravity and opposition claims of political motivation. Traders price the 88% probability of no release by year-end around these structural barriers and the absence of recent developments that would alter the detention status before December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
Volumen
$1,980Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on charges including corruption, bribery, organized crime, and espionage, with prosecutors seeking sentences exceeding 2,000 years. Turkish authorities have kept the Istanbul mayor in Marmara Prison through the ongoing mass trial that began in early 2026, consistent with patterns of judicial action against prominent CHP opposition figures ahead of future elections. No official moves toward release or bail have occurred amid continued government emphasis on the case's gravity and opposition claims of political motivation. Traders price the 88% probability of no release by year-end around these structural barriers and the absence of recent developments that would alter the detention status before December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,980Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ekrem İmamoğlu has remained in pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on charges including corruption, bribery, organized crime, and espionage, with prosecutors seeking sentences exceeding 2,000 years. Turkish authorities have kept the Istanbul mayor in Marmara Prison through the ongoing mass trial that began in early 2026, consistent with patterns of judicial action against prominent CHP opposition figures ahead of future elections. No official moves toward release or bail have occurred amid continued government emphasis on the case's gravity and opposition claims of political motivation. Traders price the 88% probability of no release by year-end around these structural barriers and the absence of recent developments that would alter the detention status before December 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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