Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.5% for no critical Discord incident by April 30, driven by the platform's operational stability over the past month, with Discord's official status page logging only brief disruptions—a major connection delay affecting large guilds on April 28 resolved within hours, plus partial outages for user profiles and invites earlier in the month, all swiftly mitigated without data breaches or prolonged downtime. No confirmed hacks, ransomware, or exploits have surfaced via credible disclosures or third-party reports like Downdetector. While tail risks persist, such as an undetected cyber vulnerability surfacing in final hours or cascading technical failures from high-traffic events, the absence of escalating issues cements this skin-in-the-game verdict as the deadline hits.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$21,041 Vol.
$21,041 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Sí
$21,041 Vol.
$21,041 Vol.
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.5% for no critical Discord incident by April 30, driven by the platform's operational stability over the past month, with Discord's official status page logging only brief disruptions—a major connection delay affecting large guilds on April 28 resolved within hours, plus partial outages for user profiles and invites earlier in the month, all swiftly mitigated without data breaches or prolonged downtime. No confirmed hacks, ransomware, or exploits have surfaced via credible disclosures or third-party reports like Downdetector. While tail risks persist, such as an undetected cyber vulnerability surfacing in final hours or cascading technical failures from high-traffic events, the absence of escalating issues cements this skin-in-the-game verdict as the deadline hits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volumen
$21,041Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.5% for no critical Discord incident by April 30, driven by the platform's operational stability over the past month, with Discord's official status page logging only brief disruptions—a major connection delay affecting large guilds on April 28 resolved within hours, plus partial outages for user profiles and invites earlier in the month, all swiftly mitigated without data breaches or prolonged downtime. No confirmed hacks, ransomware, or exploits have surfaced via credible disclosures or third-party reports like Downdetector. While tail risks persist, such as an undetected cyber vulnerability surfacing in final hours or cascading technical failures from high-traffic events, the absence of escalating issues cements this skin-in-the-game verdict as the deadline hits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Volumen
$21,041Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.5% for no critical Discord incident by April 30, driven by the platform's operational stability over the past month, with Discord's official status page logging only brief disruptions—a major connection delay affecting large guilds on April 28 resolved within hours, plus partial outages for user profiles and invites earlier in the month, all swiftly mitigated without data breaches or prolonged downtime. No confirmed hacks, ransomware, or exploits have surfaced via credible disclosures or third-party reports like Downdetector. While tail risks persist, such as an undetected cyber vulnerability surfacing in final hours or cascading technical failures from high-traffic events, the absence of escalating issues cements this skin-in-the-game verdict as the deadline hits.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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