Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.7% for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all three required critical incidents: an AWS "disrupted" severity outage, a Discord red-status critical event, and a resolved Cloudflare critical incident. While AWS experienced a major multi-service outage in early March affecting over 80 offerings, official status dashboards confirm Discord and Cloudflare avoided qualifying disruptions throughout the February 11 to March 31 window. Such simultaneous failures across hyperscalers and CDNs remain exceptionally rare due to diversified architectures and rapid mitigation protocols. Realistic risks to resolution include late attributions from credible reporting or disputes over incident classifications, though no fresh developments in the past 30 days challenge this stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$14,117 Vol.
$14,117 Vol.
31 mar 2026
Sí
$14,117 Vol.
$14,117 Vol.
31 mar 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.7% for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all three required critical incidents: an AWS "disrupted" severity outage, a Discord red-status critical event, and a resolved Cloudflare critical incident. While AWS experienced a major multi-service outage in early March affecting over 80 offerings, official status dashboards confirm Discord and Cloudflare avoided qualifying disruptions throughout the February 11 to March 31 window. Such simultaneous failures across hyperscalers and CDNs remain exceptionally rare due to diversified architectures and rapid mitigation protocols. Realistic risks to resolution include late attributions from credible reporting or disputes over incident classifications, though no fresh developments in the past 30 days challenge this stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volumen
$14,117Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.7% for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all three required critical incidents: an AWS "disrupted" severity outage, a Discord red-status critical event, and a resolved Cloudflare critical incident. While AWS experienced a major multi-service outage in early March affecting over 80 offerings, official status dashboards confirm Discord and Cloudflare avoided qualifying disruptions throughout the February 11 to March 31 window. Such simultaneous failures across hyperscalers and CDNs remain exceptionally rare due to diversified architectures and rapid mitigation protocols. Realistic risks to resolution include late attributions from credible reporting or disputes over incident classifications, though no fresh developments in the past 30 days challenge this stability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Volumen
$14,117Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.7% for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all three required critical incidents: an AWS "disrupted" severity outage, a Discord red-status critical event, and a resolved Cloudflare critical incident. While AWS experienced a major multi-service outage in early March affecting over 80 offerings, official status dashboards confirm Discord and Cloudflare avoided qualifying disruptions throughout the February 11 to March 31 window. Such simultaneous failures across hyperscalers and CDNs remain exceptionally rare due to diversified architectures and rapid mitigation protocols. Realistic risks to resolution include late attributions from credible reporting or disputes over incident classifications, though no fresh developments in the past 30 days challenge this stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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