Macro dashboard
Macro dashboard
Economy

ECB rate hike in 2026?
91%
chance

Negative GDP growth in 2026?
7%
chance

Fed rate hike in 2026?
19%
chance
Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
6%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
47%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
18%
chance

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
22%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
<1%
chance

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8%
chance
Macro dashboard
Economy

ECB rate hike in 2026?
91%
chance

Negative GDP growth in 2026?
7%
chance

Fed rate hike in 2026?
19%
chance
Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
6%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
47%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
18%
chance

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
22%
chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
<1%
chance

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
8%
chance










