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Variational predictions & odds

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Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

91%

$100M

$1M Vol.

$84.4K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

72%

December 31, 2026

$359K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

37

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$208 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs FURY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs FURY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs

51%

Abyssal

$3.8K Vol.

$74.8K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs

Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs

56%

FOKUS

$403 Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

84%

↓ 0.0014

$106K Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

120

Ends in about 2 months

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

84%

Mandatory

$0 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

100%

XI Esport

$140K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$34.5K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs

Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs

79%

CGN Esports

$0 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates

ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates

56%

Nepal

$48.0K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs

66%

100 Thieves

$219 Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$595 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs

55%

ShindeN

$16 Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

100%

AaB Esport

$40.9K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs

62%

regain

$107 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Entropy

$4.0K Vol.

$0 Liq.

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

97%

↓ $2.80

$2.9K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

77%

December 31, 2027

$466K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

32

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Variational.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Variational that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Variational predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.