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icon for Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?
Sports·Esports

Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?

icon for Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?
Sports·Esports

Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?

52% chance
Polymarket
NEW
52% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Team Spirit's "Yes" roster change before July at a razor-thin 52%, reflecting the esports org's volatile history of post-tournament adjustments—most notably the December 2025 benching of chopper and zweih for magixx's IGL return alongside zont1x, sh1ro, and donk—amid mixed 2026 results like a runner-up push at IEM Rio but 7th-place finishes at BLAST Open Rotterdam and ESL Pro League S23. OverDrive's early April assurance of no tweaks before the next Major has steadied sentiment, yet rocky form and community calls for rifler upgrades keep odds balanced. A deep Major run bolsters stability; an early exit could prompt swaps via transfer portal buzz.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$241
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Team Spirit's "Yes" roster change before July at a razor-thin 52%, reflecting the esports org's volatile history of post-tournament adjustments—most notably the December 2025 benching of chopper and zweih for magixx's IGL return alongside zont1x, sh1ro, and donk—amid mixed 2026 results like a runner-up push at IEM Rio but 7th-place finishes at BLAST Open Rotterdam and ESL Pro League S23. OverDrive's early April assurance of no tweaks before the next Major has steadied sentiment, yet rocky form and community calls for rifler upgrades keep odds balanced. A deep Major run bolsters stability; an early exit could prompt swaps via transfer portal buzz.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$241
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 52% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 52¢, the market collectively assigns a 52% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?" is 52% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 52% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.