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icon for Will T1 make a roster change before July?

Will T1 make a roster change before July?

icon for Will T1 make a roster change before July?

Will T1 make a roster change before July?

5% chance
Polymarket
NEW
5% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves T1's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the T1 Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/T1) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Doran, Oner, Faker, Peyz, and Keria. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.T1 enters mid-June 2026 with its 2026 LCK roster of Doran, Oner, Faker, Peyz, and Keria locked in following the 2025 offseason rebuild that replaced departing ADC Gumayusi with Peyz from JDG. Multi-year contracts, including Faker’s extension through 2029, combined with the team’s recent Worlds title and structural stability make any pre-July roster move structurally implausible. Trader consensus at 95.2% on “No” reflects the absence of reported performance shortfalls, internal conflicts, or transfer-window activity in credible LCK coverage. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain narrow, such as a late-season injury forcing an emergency signing or an unforeseen contract resolution, though both sit well outside current market-implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves T1's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the T1 Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/T1) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Doran, Oner, Faker, Peyz, and Keria. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,376
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves T1's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the T1 Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/T1) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Doran, Oner, Faker, Peyz, and Keria. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves T1's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the T1 Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/T1) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Doran, Oner, Faker, Peyz, and Keria. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.T1 enters mid-June 2026 with its 2026 LCK roster of Doran, Oner, Faker, Peyz, and Keria locked in following the 2025 offseason rebuild that replaced departing ADC Gumayusi with Peyz from JDG. Multi-year contracts, including Faker’s extension through 2029, combined with the team’s recent Worlds title and structural stability make any pre-July roster move structurally implausible. Trader consensus at 95.2% on “No” reflects the absence of reported performance shortfalls, internal conflicts, or transfer-window activity in credible LCK coverage. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain narrow, such as a late-season injury forcing an emergency signing or an unforeseen contract resolution, though both sit well outside current market-implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves T1's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the T1 Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/T1) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Doran, Oner, Faker, Peyz, and Keria. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,376
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves T1's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the T1 Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/T1) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Doran, Oner, Faker, Peyz, and Keria. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will T1 make a roster change before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 5% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 5¢, the market collectively assigns a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will T1 make a roster change before July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will T1 make a roster change before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will T1 make a roster change before July?" is 5% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 5% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will T1 make a roster change before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.