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Sports·Counter Strike 2

Will FURIA make a roster change before July?

icon for Will FURIA make a roster change before July?
Sports·Counter Strike 2

Will FURIA make a roster change before July?

50% chance
Polymarket
NEW
50% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FURIA's CS2 roster—FalleN, yuurih, KSCERATO, molodoy, and YEKINDAR—has remained stable since April 2025, fueling trader consensus at 69% implied probability of no changes before July amid top-3 HLTV world ranking and a deep IEM Rio 2026 run with wins over Natus Vincere and MOUZ before semifinal exit to Vitality. FalleN's April 17 onstage retirement announcement for year-end adds long-term IGL uncertainty but no immediate disruption, as the squad's 55.6% win rate over recent months and BLAST Rivals group stage competitiveness signal cohesion without urgent roster moves ahead of PGL Astana and IEM Cologne Major.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$230
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:26 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.FURIA's CS2 roster—FalleN, yuurih, KSCERATO, molodoy, and YEKINDAR—has remained stable since April 2025, fueling trader consensus at 69% implied probability of no changes before July amid top-3 HLTV world ranking and a deep IEM Rio 2026 run with wins over Natus Vincere and MOUZ before semifinal exit to Vitality. FalleN's April 17 onstage retirement announcement for year-end adds long-term IGL uncertainty but no immediate disruption, as the squad's 55.6% win rate over recent months and BLAST Rivals group stage competitiveness signal cohesion without urgent roster moves ahead of PGL Astana and IEM Cologne Major.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$230
End Date
Jul 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 8, 2026, 10:26 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: FalleN, yuurih, YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, and molodoy. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will FURIA make a roster change before July?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 31% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 31¢, the market collectively assigns a 31% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will FURIA make a roster change before July?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will FURIA make a roster change before July?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will FURIA make a roster change before July?" is 31% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 31% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will FURIA make a roster change before July?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.