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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Jean Silva 37%

Movsar Evloev 24%

Brian Ortega 4.3%

Polymarket

$12,278 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Jean Silva 37%

Movsar Evloev 24%

Brian Ortega 4.3%

Polymarket

$12,278 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski

$859 Vol.

48%

Jean Silva

$1,872 Vol.

23%

Movsar Evloev

$5,109 Vol.

32%

Brian Ortega

$461 Vol.

4%

Steve Garcia

$438 Vol.

4%

Arnold Allen

$521 Vol.

3%

Aljamain Sterling

$353 Vol.

10%

Yair Rodriguez

$383 Vol.

<1%

Youssef Zalal

$438 Vol.

<1%

Diego Lopes

$492 Vol.

<1%

Lerone Murphy

$1,352 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Reigning UFC featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski holds a razor-thin edge in trader consensus at 41% implied probability alongside surging knockout artist Jean Silva at 42%, reflecting the division's depth after Volkanovski's unanimous decision title defenses over Diego Lopes in April 2025 and January 2026. Movsar Evloev's controversial unanimous decision victory over previously unbeaten Lerone Murphy in the UFC Fight Night London main event on March 21 propelled him to top contender status at 34%, with recent reports suggesting a potential title clash against Volkanovski next. Murphy remains viable at 33.1% due to his elite striking and wrestling, while Aljamain Sterling's move down from bantamweight caps him at 12.4% amid inconsistent featherweight form. This tight clustering underscores a competitive title picture through 2026, with stylistic matchups, injury histories, and emerging contenders like Brian Ortega keeping outcomes unpredictable.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$12,278
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Reigning UFC featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski holds a razor-thin edge in trader consensus at 41% implied probability alongside surging knockout artist Jean Silva at 42%, reflecting the division's depth after Volkanovski's unanimous decision title defenses over Diego Lopes in April 2025 and January 2026. Movsar Evloev's controversial unanimous decision victory over previously unbeaten Lerone Murphy in the UFC Fight Night London main event on March 21 propelled him to top contender status at 34%, with recent reports suggesting a potential title clash against Volkanovski next. Murphy remains viable at 33.1% due to his elite striking and wrestling, while Aljamain Sterling's move down from bantamweight caps him at 12.4% amid inconsistent featherweight form. This tight clustering underscores a competitive title picture through 2026, with stylistic matchups, injury histories, and emerging contenders like Brian Ortega keeping outcomes unpredictable.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$12,278
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 48%, followed by "Lerone Murphy" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $12.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lerone Murphy" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.