Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC featherweight title with a recent unanimous decision victory over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in January 2026, marking his second defense in the rematch and underscoring his experience and durability at age 37. Traders price him as the clear leader at 57.5% largely due to this track record plus his public expectation of facing undefeated contender Movsar Evloev late in 2026. Evloev sits at 27% after a majority decision win over Lerone Murphy and consistent victories over top competition, positioning him as the primary threat if he claims the belt in the anticipated matchup. Lower-probability names like Jean Silva and Steve Garcia reflect rising momentum but lack immediate title paths, while the crowded division leaves room for form shifts or injuries to alter the end-of-year outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMovsar Evloev 44%
Alexander Volkanovski 40%
Jean Silva 4.0%
Steve Garcia 2.4%
$295,012 Vol.
$295,012 Vol.
Movsar Evloev
27%
Alexander Volkanovski
50%
Jean Silva
4%
Steve Garcia
2%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Yair Rodriguez
1%
Lerone Murphy
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Arnold Allen
1%
Kevin Vallejos
1%
Brian Ortega
<1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Movsar Evloev 44%
Alexander Volkanovski 40%
Jean Silva 4.0%
Steve Garcia 2.4%
$295,012 Vol.
$295,012 Vol.
Movsar Evloev
27%
Alexander Volkanovski
50%
Jean Silva
4%
Steve Garcia
2%
Aljamain Sterling
1%
Yair Rodriguez
1%
Lerone Murphy
1%
Youssef Zalal
1%
Arnold Allen
1%
Kevin Vallejos
1%
Brian Ortega
<1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Volkanovski holds the UFC featherweight title with a recent unanimous decision victory over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in January 2026, marking his second defense in the rematch and underscoring his experience and durability at age 37. Traders price him as the clear leader at 57.5% largely due to this track record plus his public expectation of facing undefeated contender Movsar Evloev late in 2026. Evloev sits at 27% after a majority decision win over Lerone Murphy and consistent victories over top competition, positioning him as the primary threat if he claims the belt in the anticipated matchup. Lower-probability names like Jean Silva and Steve Garcia reflect rising momentum but lack immediate title paths, while the crowded division leaves room for form shifts or injuries to alter the end-of-year outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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