Crystal Palace leads trader consensus at 74% implied probability to reach the UEFA Europa Conference League final after a commanding 4-2 aggregate quarter-final victory over Fiorentina, including a 3-0 home win, bolstered by key contributions from Ismaïla Sarr and midfield control from Adam Wharton; they face Shakhtar Donetsk in the semis, with first leg underway in Kraków and a crucial home second leg on May 7 offering rest and crowd advantage despite injuries to Evann Guessand, Eddie Nketiah, and Tyrick Mitchell. Strasbourg sits at 52% following their dramatic 4-2 comeback against Mainz via a 4-0 home rout, though top scorer Joaquin Panichelli is sidelined with a knee injury, setting up a tight tie versus Rayo Vallecano—who advanced 4-3 over AEK Athens on strong Estadio de Vallecas form—at 48%, while Shakhtar's 5-2 thrashing of AZ Alkmaar leaves them at 29% amid neutral-venue challenges. Second legs next week will sharpen paths to the May 27 Leipzig final.