Paris Saint-Germain cling to a 5-4 first-leg lead over Bayern München in their UEFA Champions League semi-final after a thrilling nine-goal encounter—the most in knockout history—while Arsenal secured a 1-1 draw away at Atlético Madrid. PSG suffered a major blow as star right-back Achraf Hakimi was ruled out of the May 6 Allianz Arena second leg with a thigh injury from the opener, undermining their defensive transitions and boosting Bayern's home momentum. Arsenal hold home advantage in the level tie on May 5, leveraging resilience against Atlético's set-piece threats. All four reached semis via quarter-final triumphs—PSG over Liverpool (4-0 agg.), Bayern past Real Madrid (6-4 agg.), Atlético edging Barcelona (3-2), Arsenal grinding Sporting CP (1-0)—with trader consensus reflecting tight aggregates and injury impacts ahead of the May 30 Budapest final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$447,587 Vol.

Arsenal
70%

Bayern München
52%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
50%

Atlético Madrid
30%
$447,587 Vol.

Arsenal
70%

Bayern München
52%

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)
50%

Atlético Madrid
30%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Paris Saint-Germain cling to a 5-4 first-leg lead over Bayern München in their UEFA Champions League semi-final after a thrilling nine-goal encounter—the most in knockout history—while Arsenal secured a 1-1 draw away at Atlético Madrid. PSG suffered a major blow as star right-back Achraf Hakimi was ruled out of the May 6 Allianz Arena second leg with a thigh injury from the opener, undermining their defensive transitions and boosting Bayern's home momentum. Arsenal hold home advantage in the level tie on May 5, leveraging resilience against Atlético's set-piece threats. All four reached semis via quarter-final triumphs—PSG over Liverpool (4-0 agg.), Bayern past Real Madrid (6-4 agg.), Atlético edging Barcelona (3-2), Arsenal grinding Sporting CP (1-0)—with trader consensus reflecting tight aggregates and injury impacts ahead of the May 30 Budapest final.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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