The Supreme Court granted certiorari in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell in January 2026 and heard oral arguments on April 27, limiting review to whether FIFRA preempts state-law failure-to-warn claims when the EPA has approved a pesticide label without a cancer warning. Several justices expressed sympathy during arguments for the preemption position advanced by Monsanto, now owned by Bayer, which could shield the company from liability in thousands of glyphosate-related cases. With a decision expected before the term ends, trader consensus reflected in the 87% implied probability for a ruling favoring Monsanto aligns with the Court's recent patterns on federal preemption of state tort claims and the limited scope of the question presented. Late developments such as a new EPA action or unanticipated shifts in the justices' positions could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿SCOTUS se pronuncia a favor de Monsanto?
¿SCOTUS se pronuncia a favor de Monsanto?
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, rules that the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) preempts state failure-to-warn claims by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court granted certiorari in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell in January 2026 and heard oral arguments on April 27, limiting review to whether FIFRA preempts state-law failure-to-warn claims when the EPA has approved a pesticide label without a cancer warning. Several justices expressed sympathy during arguments for the preemption position advanced by Monsanto, now owned by Bayer, which could shield the company from liability in thousands of glyphosate-related cases. With a decision expected before the term ends, trader consensus reflected in the 87% implied probability for a ruling favoring Monsanto aligns with the Court's recent patterns on federal preemption of state tort claims and the limited scope of the question presented. Late developments such as a new EPA action or unanticipated shifts in the justices' positions could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, rules that the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) preempts state failure-to-warn claims by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Volumen
$272Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, rules that the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) preempts state failure-to-warn claims by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court granted certiorari in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell in January 2026 and heard oral arguments on April 27, limiting review to whether FIFRA preempts state-law failure-to-warn claims when the EPA has approved a pesticide label without a cancer warning. Several justices expressed sympathy during arguments for the preemption position advanced by Monsanto, now owned by Bayer, which could shield the company from liability in thousands of glyphosate-related cases. With a decision expected before the term ends, trader consensus reflected in the 87% implied probability for a ruling favoring Monsanto aligns with the Court's recent patterns on federal preemption of state tort claims and the limited scope of the question presented. Late developments such as a new EPA action or unanticipated shifts in the justices' positions could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell, rules that the Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (FIFRA) preempts state failure-to-warn claims by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to rule that FIFRA preempts such claims if it issues a decision in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell holding that FIFRA preempts state failure-to-warn claims, including ruling that manufacturers cannot be held liable under state law for failing to include warnings not required or approved by the Environmental Protection Agency.
If the Supreme Court ruling in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell affirms that state-law failure-to-warn claims are not preempted, allows such claims to proceed, or otherwise declines to find federal preemption, the market will resolve to “No”. If the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Monsanto Co. v. Durnell is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$272Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court granted certiorari in Monsanto Co. v. Durnell in January 2026 and heard oral arguments on April 27, limiting review to whether FIFRA preempts state-law failure-to-warn claims when the EPA has approved a pesticide label without a cancer warning. Several justices expressed sympathy during arguments for the preemption position advanced by Monsanto, now owned by Bayer, which could shield the company from liability in thousands of glyphosate-related cases. With a decision expected before the term ends, trader consensus reflected in the 87% implied probability for a ruling favoring Monsanto aligns with the Court's recent patterns on federal preemption of state tort claims and the limited scope of the question presented. Late developments such as a new EPA action or unanticipated shifts in the justices' positions could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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