Recent trader positioning around Seoul’s June 2026 rainfall reflects uncertainty in the precise onset and strength of the East Asian summer monsoon, which typically begins shifting moisture northward in the latter half of the month. With roughly 60-70 mm likely accumulated through mid-June under relatively stable early-summer conditions, outcomes hinge on whether late-month frontal systems and southerly flow deliver near-normal totals near 130 mm or trigger heavier episodes exceeding 160 mm. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance notes potential above-average precipitation tied to enhanced moisture transport, yet model consensus on exact timing and intensity remains divided, sustaining the tight spread across 110-160 mm brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrecipitation in Seoul in June?
Precipitation in Seoul in June?
130-140mm 28%
160mm+ 28%
120-130mm 22%
110-120mm 21%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
<100mm
21%
100-110mm
26%
110-120mm
14%
120-130mm
22%
130-140mm
28%
140-150mm
16%
150-160mm
24%
160mm+
28%
130-140mm 28%
160mm+ 28%
120-130mm 22%
110-120mm 21%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
<100mm
$240 Vol.
21%
100-110mm
$78 Vol.
26%
110-120mm
$92 Vol.
14%
120-130mm
$149 Vol.
22%
130-140mm
$94 Vol.
28%
140-150mm
$65 Vol.
16%
150-160mm
$73 Vol.
24%
160mm+
$62 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in June, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of June at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent trader positioning around Seoul’s June 2026 rainfall reflects uncertainty in the precise onset and strength of the East Asian summer monsoon, which typically begins shifting moisture northward in the latter half of the month. With roughly 60-70 mm likely accumulated through mid-June under relatively stable early-summer conditions, outcomes hinge on whether late-month frontal systems and southerly flow deliver near-normal totals near 130 mm or trigger heavier episodes exceeding 160 mm. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance notes potential above-average precipitation tied to enhanced moisture transport, yet model consensus on exact timing and intensity remains divided, sustaining the tight spread across 110-160 mm brackets.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in June, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of June at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of June at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volume
$854End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in June, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of June at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent trader positioning around Seoul’s June 2026 rainfall reflects uncertainty in the precise onset and strength of the East Asian summer monsoon, which typically begins shifting moisture northward in the latter half of the month. With roughly 60-70 mm likely accumulated through mid-June under relatively stable early-summer conditions, outcomes hinge on whether late-month frontal systems and southerly flow deliver near-normal totals near 130 mm or trigger heavier episodes exceeding 160 mm. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance notes potential above-average precipitation tied to enhanced moisture transport, yet model consensus on exact timing and intensity remains divided, sustaining the tight spread across 110-160 mm brackets.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in June, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of June at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of June at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$854End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader positioning around Seoul’s June 2026 rainfall reflects uncertainty in the precise onset and strength of the East Asian summer monsoon, which typically begins shifting moisture northward in the latter half of the month. With roughly 60-70 mm likely accumulated through mid-June under relatively stable early-summer conditions, outcomes hinge on whether late-month frontal systems and southerly flow deliver near-normal totals near 130 mm or trigger heavier episodes exceeding 160 mm. Korea Meteorological Administration guidance notes potential above-average precipitation tied to enhanced moisture transport, yet model consensus on exact timing and intensity remains divided, sustaining the tight spread across 110-160 mm brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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