The extreme rarity of albatrosses on the PGA Tour, combined with only three events left before the June 30 deadline, underpins the 63% implied probability on "No." Historically, such double eagles occur roughly four to six times per full season across hundreds of rounds, with recent examples including Max McGreevy's 246-yard effort at the 2026 Cognizant Classic and Taylor Pendrith's early 2025 shot at Kapalua. The RBC Canadian Open is concluding, followed by the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills and the Travelers Championship, where long par-5s offer limited windows and firm conditions often reduce approach opportunities. No albatrosses have surfaced in these June events to date, and the short remaining schedule limits exposure for the low-probability outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$25 Vol.
$25 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
$25 Vol.
$25 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extreme rarity of albatrosses on the PGA Tour, combined with only three events left before the June 30 deadline, underpins the 63% implied probability on "No." Historically, such double eagles occur roughly four to six times per full season across hundreds of rounds, with recent examples including Max McGreevy's 246-yard effort at the 2026 Cognizant Classic and Taylor Pendrith's early 2025 shot at Kapalua. The RBC Canadian Open is concluding, followed by the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills and the Travelers Championship, where long par-5s offer limited windows and firm conditions often reduce approach opportunities. No albatrosses have surfaced in these June events to date, and the short remaining schedule limits exposure for the low-probability outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extreme rarity of albatrosses on the PGA Tour, combined with only three events left before the June 30 deadline, underpins the 63% implied probability on "No." Historically, such double eagles occur roughly four to six times per full season across hundreds of rounds, with recent examples including Max McGreevy's 246-yard effort at the 2026 Cognizant Classic and Taylor Pendrith's early 2025 shot at Kapalua. The RBC Canadian Open is concluding, followed by the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills and the Travelers Championship, where long par-5s offer limited windows and firm conditions often reduce approach opportunities. No albatrosses have surfaced in these June events to date, and the short remaining schedule limits exposure for the low-probability outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The extreme rarity of albatrosses on the PGA Tour, combined with only three events left before the June 30 deadline, underpins the 63% implied probability on "No." Historically, such double eagles occur roughly four to six times per full season across hundreds of rounds, with recent examples including Max McGreevy's 246-yard effort at the 2026 Cognizant Classic and Taylor Pendrith's early 2025 shot at Kapalua. The RBC Canadian Open is concluding, followed by the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills and the Travelers Championship, where long par-5s offer limited windows and firm conditions often reduce approach opportunities. No albatrosses have surfaced in these June events to date, and the short remaining schedule limits exposure for the low-probability outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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