Trader consensus reflects skepticism around Maidar "nocries" Baldanov securing a full CS2 roster spot with a pro organization by June 30, pricing "No" at 67% implied probability after BCG's CEO announced him as a contingency stand-in for IEM Atlanta amid potential visa issues for core players like s1mple. Star player s1mple downplayed the arrangement on April 22, confirming nocries is not on the active roster and unaware of the plan, underscoring his unproven status transitioning from high-level FACEIT play to tier-1 competition. Despite NA-based hype and past Falcons rumors, nocries' stated preference for an NA team and lack of official contracts or post-announcement updates maintain trader caution on a pro signing amid ongoing roster flux.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?
A professional Counter-Strike 2 organization is any organization that fields a paid Counter-Strike 2 roster in official CS2 competitions.
“Signs” refers to nocries entering into a paid contract with an organization to compete in Counter-Strike 2 for that organization. Trials or other relationships that do not include a signed professional playing contract will not count. Sponsorship agreements or other contracts that do not pay nocries to compete in Counter-Strike 2 for a specific organization will also not count.
A signed professional contract between nocries and a qualifying Counter-Strike 2 organization within this market’s timeframe will qualify even if its effective start date is after June 30, 2026.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the team involved and nocries, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 1, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A professional Counter-Strike 2 organization is any organization that fields a paid Counter-Strike 2 roster in official CS2 competitions.
“Signs” refers to nocries entering into a paid contract with an organization to compete in Counter-Strike 2 for that organization. Trials or other relationships that do not include a signed professional playing contract will not count. Sponsorship agreements or other contracts that do not pay nocries to compete in Counter-Strike 2 for a specific organization will also not count.
A signed professional contract between nocries and a qualifying Counter-Strike 2 organization within this market’s timeframe will qualify even if its effective start date is after June 30, 2026.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the team involved and nocries, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects skepticism around Maidar "nocries" Baldanov securing a full CS2 roster spot with a pro organization by June 30, pricing "No" at 67% implied probability after BCG's CEO announced him as a contingency stand-in for IEM Atlanta amid potential visa issues for core players like s1mple. Star player s1mple downplayed the arrangement on April 22, confirming nocries is not on the active roster and unaware of the plan, underscoring his unproven status transitioning from high-level FACEIT play to tier-1 competition. Despite NA-based hype and past Falcons rumors, nocries' stated preference for an NA team and lack of official contracts or post-announcement updates maintain trader caution on a pro signing amid ongoing roster flux.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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