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Sports·2026 NBA Playoffs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

icon for NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals
Sports·2026 NBA Playoffs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals

$1,444,106 Vol.

May 3, 2026
Polymarket

$1,444,106 Vol.

Polymarket

Boston Celtics

$170,692 Vol.

91%

Cleveland Cavaliers

$7,023 Vol.

91%

New York Knicks

$17,665 Vol.

87%

Los Angeles Lakers

$142,316 Vol.

72%

Denver Nuggets

$45,067 Vol.

58%

Orlando Magic

$25,092 Vol.

56%

Detroit Pistons

$23,771 Vol.

45%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$13,910 Vol.

42%

Houston Rockets

$30,187 Vol.

28%

Atlanta Hawks

$7,665 Vol.

12%

Philadelphia 76ers

$7,172 Vol.

9%

Toronto Raptors

$2,654 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in this first-round market reflects 3-2 series leads for favorites like Boston Celtics (92%), Cleveland Cavaliers (90%), and New York Knicks (89%), bolstered by home-court edges in tonight's Game 6s against Philadelphia 76ers, Toronto Raptors, and Atlanta Hawks, respectively. Anthony Edwards' knee injury ruling him out for Minnesota Timberwolves' Game 6 versus Denver Nuggets has shifted odds to favor Denver (59%) despite Minnesota's lead, underscoring injury volatility. Los Angeles Lakers (75%) maintain advantage over Houston Rockets (28%) amid Houston's absences of Kevin Durant and Fred VanVleet, even after Rockets' Game 5 comeback from a 3-0 deficit. Orlando Magic (57%) eye upset closure versus Detroit Pistons following Cade Cunningham's Game 5 heroics.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,444,106
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in this first-round market reflects 3-2 series leads for favorites like Boston Celtics (92%), Cleveland Cavaliers (90%), and New York Knicks (89%), bolstered by home-court edges in tonight's Game 6s against Philadelphia 76ers, Toronto Raptors, and Atlanta Hawks, respectively. Anthony Edwards' knee injury ruling him out for Minnesota Timberwolves' Game 6 versus Denver Nuggets has shifted odds to favor Denver (59%) despite Minnesota's lead, underscoring injury volatility. Los Angeles Lakers (75%) maintain advantage over Houston Rockets (28%) amid Houston's absences of Kevin Durant and Fred VanVleet, even after Rockets' Game 5 comeback from a 3-0 deficit. Orlando Magic (57%) eye upset closure versus Detroit Pistons following Cade Cunningham's Game 5 heroics.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,444,106
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 100%, followed by "San Antonio Spurs" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "San Antonio Spurs" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.