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Sports·2026 NBA Playoffs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals

icon for NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals
Sports·2026 NBA Playoffs

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals

NEW
May 24, 2026
Polymarket

$4,558 Vol.

Polymarket

Oklahoma City Thunder

$65 Vol.

82%

Orlando Magic

$75 Vol.

51%

Cleveland Cavaliers

$13 Vol.

51%

Boston Celtics

$84 Vol.

50%

Denver Nuggets

$9 Vol.

50%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$2 Vol.

50%

Toronto Raptors

$2 Vol.

50%

Detroit Pistons

$475 Vol.

49%

Atlanta Hawks

$12 Vol.

49%

Philadelphia 76ers

$61 Vol.

49%

New York Knicks

$20 Vol.

49%

Los Angeles Lakers

$47 Vol.

31%

Houston Rockets

$102 Vol.

8%

San Antonio Spurs

$103 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma City Thunder's dominant 4-0 sweep of Phoenix Suns and San Antonio Spurs' 4-1 dismissal of Portland Trail Blazers have propelled both to Western Conference semifinals, with the Spurs reaching this stage for the first time since 2017 amid strong contributions from Devin Vassell. All remaining first-round best-of-seven series sit at 3-2, favoring higher seeds after pivotal Game 5s: Lakers hold slim edge over injury-plagued Rockets (Kevin Durant out, left ankle sprain), Timberwolves lead Nuggets despite Anthony Edwards' multi-week knee absence, Knicks routed Hawks 126-97, Cavaliers escaped Raptors 125-120 (Brandon Ingram heel issue), Celtics top 76ers, and Magic cling to upset bid over top-seed Pistons. Critical Game 6s Thursday—Knicks at Hawks, Celtics at 76ers, Nuggets at Timberwolves—plus Friday matchups will lock in semifinal fields, where rest advantages, matchup familiarity, and health loom large for Conference Finals paths.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,558
End Date
May 24, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma City Thunder's dominant 4-0 sweep of Phoenix Suns and San Antonio Spurs' 4-1 dismissal of Portland Trail Blazers have propelled both to Western Conference semifinals, with the Spurs reaching this stage for the first time since 2017 amid strong contributions from Devin Vassell. All remaining first-round best-of-seven series sit at 3-2, favoring higher seeds after pivotal Game 5s: Lakers hold slim edge over injury-plagued Rockets (Kevin Durant out, left ankle sprain), Timberwolves lead Nuggets despite Anthony Edwards' multi-week knee absence, Knicks routed Hawks 126-97, Cavaliers escaped Raptors 125-120 (Brandon Ingram heel issue), Celtics top 76ers, and Magic cling to upset bid over top-seed Pistons. Critical Game 6s Thursday—Knicks at Hawks, Celtics at 76ers, Nuggets at Timberwolves—plus Friday matchups will lock in semifinal fields, where rest advantages, matchup familiarity, and health loom large for Conference Finals paths.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,558
End Date
May 24, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Finals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs Conference Semifinals have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 82%, followed by "Orlando Magic" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Orlando Magic" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Finals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.