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Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

icon for MLS Cup Winner 2026
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 19%

Los Angeles FC 12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 11.0%

San Jose Earthquakes 5.5%

Polymarket

$16,418,912 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 19%

Los Angeles FC 12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 11.0%

San Jose Earthquakes 5.5%

Polymarket

$16,418,912 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$20,032 Vol.

19%

Los Angeles FC

$25,080 Vol.

12%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$361,215 Vol.

11%

San Jose Earthquakes

$1,059,676 Vol.

6%

Nashville SC

$277,917 Vol.

5%

Seattle Sounders FC

$790,817 Vol.

4%

San Diego FC

$1,197,993 Vol.

4%

FC Cincinnati

$1,533,380 Vol.

4%

New York City FC

$555,100 Vol.

4%

Columbus Crew

$3,027,302 Vol.

2%

LA Galaxy

$13,246 Vol.

2%

Toronto FC

$25,665 Vol.

2%

Chicago Fire FC

$91,225 Vol.

2%

Minnesota United FC

$148,903 Vol.

2%

Charlotte FC

$1,656,928 Vol.

2%

Houston Dynamo FC

$304,236 Vol.

1%

New York Red Bulls

$242,626 Vol.

1%

Orlando City SC

$2,006,015 Vol.

1%

Real Salt Lake

$2,561,372 Vol.

1%

Atlanta United FC

$65,416 Vol.

1%

Austin FC

$65,780 Vol.

1%

FC Dallas

$52,570 Vol.

1%

Philadelphia Union

$74,800 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rapids

$97,503 Vol.

1%

New England Revolution

$17,940 Vol.

1%

Portland Timbers

$58,384 Vol.

1%

D.C. United

$3,977 Vol.

<1%

St. Louis City SC

$66,443 Vol.

<1%

CF Montréal

$6,146 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$11,225 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inter Miami CF leads trader consensus for the 2026 MLS Cup at 18.5% implied probability, propelled by Lionel Messi's continued influence and a strong Eastern Conference start placing them second behind Nashville SC after about 10 matches. LAFC (11.5%) and Vancouver Whitecaps (11%) trail tightly, reflecting Vancouver's top power ranking status with an 8-1-0 record and LAFC's dominant early run snapped by a recent first loss. San Jose Earthquakes (5.5%) have climbed via designated player Timo Werner's April Player of the Month award and blowout wins like 4-1 over LAFC. MLS salary cap parity, the 34-game regular season grind, and single-elimination playoffs keep the race competitive, as early small-sample form remains volatile amid roster health and Western Conference depth.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,418,912
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Inter Miami CF leads trader consensus for the 2026 MLS Cup at 18.5% implied probability, propelled by Lionel Messi's continued influence and a strong Eastern Conference start placing them second behind Nashville SC after about 10 matches. LAFC (11.5%) and Vancouver Whitecaps (11%) trail tightly, reflecting Vancouver's top power ranking status with an 8-1-0 record and LAFC's dominant early run snapped by a recent first loss. San Jose Earthquakes (5.5%) have climbed via designated player Timo Werner's April Player of the Month award and blowout wins like 4-1 over LAFC. MLS salary cap parity, the 34-game regular season grind, and single-elimination playoffs keep the race competitive, as early small-sample form remains volatile amid roster health and Western Conference depth.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,418,912
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 19%, followed by "Los Angeles FC" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $16.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Los Angeles FC" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.