Cruz Azul holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability for victory in the Liga MX Clausura 2026 semifinal first leg at home against second-place Chivas Guadalajara, driven by La Máquina's six-match unbeaten streak and a 2-1 regular-season win over Chivas in February. Chivas, who finished second in the 17-game table with 11 wins, face key absences including midfielder Daniel Aguirre and forward Leonardo Sepúlveda due to injuries, per official reports, potentially weakening their attack. The tight odds—Chivas at 28.5% and draw at 27.5%—reflect the Clásico Nacional's rivalry intensity, Chivas' strong away form, and first-leg caution favoring a stalemate, with no major weather disruptions noted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf CF Cruz Azul wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidosResolver
0x69c47De9D...If CF Cruz Azul wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidosResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cruz Azul holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability for victory in the Liga MX Clausura 2026 semifinal first leg at home against second-place Chivas Guadalajara, driven by La Máquina's six-match unbeaten streak and a 2-1 regular-season win over Chivas in February. Chivas, who finished second in the 17-game table with 11 wins, face key absences including midfielder Daniel Aguirre and forward Leonardo Sepúlveda due to injuries, per official reports, potentially weakening their attack. The tight odds—Chivas at 28.5% and draw at 27.5%—reflect the Clásico Nacional's rivalry intensity, Chivas' strong away form, and first-leg caution favoring a stalemate, with no major weather disruptions noted.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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