Trader consensus prices Esteban Lepaul as the overwhelming Ligue 1 top goalscorer favorite at 83.2% implied probability, driven by his league-leading 18 goals in 31 appearances for Rennes—three clear of closest rivals—cementing his position amid the season's final matchdays. Recent April fixtures, including Rennes' European-contending form, saw Lepaul extend his lead through consistent finishing, while Mason Greenwood's 15 goals in 29 games for Marseille position him as the 15.5% distant second via prolific output despite tougher fixtures. No major injuries or suspensions alter the race, with traders factoring Rennes' schedule edge and Lepaul's superior goals-per-match coefficient (0.58) as key barriers to an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEsteban Lepaul 83.1%
Mason Greenwood 16%
Mika Biereth 1.2%
Achraf Hakimi <1%
$650,277 Vol.
$650,277 Vol.
Esteban Lepaul
83%
Mason Greenwood
16%
Mika Biereth
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Sambou Soumano
1%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
<1%
Anssumane Fati
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Breel Embolo
<1%
Moses Simon
<1%
Lassine Sinayoko
<1%
Wesley Said
<1%
Ousmane Dembele
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Georges Mikautadze
<1%
Matias Goncalo Ramos
<1%
Joaquin Panichelli
<1%
Abdoulaye Toure
<1%
Mostafa Mohamed
<1%
Ferreira Vitinha
<1%
Santiago Hidalgo
<1%
Igor Paixao
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Arnaud Kalimuendo
<1%
Olivier Giroud
<1%
Emanuel Emegha
<1%
Terem Moffi
<1%
Matthis Abline
<1%
Folarin Balogun
<1%
Fabian Ruiz
<1%
Jean Philippe Krasso
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Amine Gouiri
<1%
Frank Magri
<1%
Ludovic Ajorque
<1%
Gauthier Hein
<1%
Martin Satriano
<1%
Esteban Lepaul 83.1%
Mason Greenwood 16%
Mika Biereth 1.2%
Achraf Hakimi <1%
$650,277 Vol.
$650,277 Vol.
Esteban Lepaul
83%
Mason Greenwood
16%
Mika Biereth
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Sambou Soumano
1%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
<1%
Anssumane Fati
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Breel Embolo
<1%
Moses Simon
<1%
Lassine Sinayoko
<1%
Wesley Said
<1%
Ousmane Dembele
<1%
Bradley Barcola
<1%
Georges Mikautadze
<1%
Matias Goncalo Ramos
<1%
Joaquin Panichelli
<1%
Abdoulaye Toure
<1%
Mostafa Mohamed
<1%
Ferreira Vitinha
<1%
Santiago Hidalgo
<1%
Igor Paixao
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Arnaud Kalimuendo
<1%
Olivier Giroud
<1%
Emanuel Emegha
<1%
Terem Moffi
<1%
Matthis Abline
<1%
Folarin Balogun
<1%
Fabian Ruiz
<1%
Jean Philippe Krasso
<1%
Cheikh Sabaly
<1%
Amine Gouiri
<1%
Frank Magri
<1%
Ludovic Ajorque
<1%
Gauthier Hein
<1%
Martin Satriano
<1%
If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Only goals scored in Ligue 1 matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.
If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2025, 5:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Only goals scored in Ligue 1 matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.
If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Esteban Lepaul as the overwhelming Ligue 1 top goalscorer favorite at 83.2% implied probability, driven by his league-leading 18 goals in 31 appearances for Rennes—three clear of closest rivals—cementing his position amid the season's final matchdays. Recent April fixtures, including Rennes' European-contending form, saw Lepaul extend his lead through consistent finishing, while Mason Greenwood's 15 goals in 29 games for Marseille position him as the 15.5% distant second via prolific output despite tougher fixtures. No major injuries or suspensions alter the race, with traders factoring Rennes' schedule edge and Lepaul's superior goals-per-match coefficient (0.58) as key barriers to an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions