Tolima holds trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability for victory in this Copa Libertadores Group B return fixture at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, fueled by their strong home form and a recent 3-0 group stage win over Coquimbo Unido, offsetting the 3-1 first-leg defeat in Montevideo two weeks ago. Nacional's 25.5% reflects defensive vulnerabilities exposed in a 1-2 domestic loss to Danubio last weekend, compounded by injuries to key right-back Emiliano Ancheta (muscle tear) and striker Gonzalo Carneiro, potentially weakening their away lineup. The 30.5% draw pricing underscores a closely contested matchup, with Tolima's altitude edge and recent momentum tilting sentiment despite Nacional's head-to-head edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf CD Tolima wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 11:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://conmebollibertadores.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If CD Tolima wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 11:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://conmebollibertadores.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tolima holds trader consensus at 45.5% implied probability for victory in this Copa Libertadores Group B return fixture at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, fueled by their strong home form and a recent 3-0 group stage win over Coquimbo Unido, offsetting the 3-1 first-leg defeat in Montevideo two weeks ago. Nacional's 25.5% reflects defensive vulnerabilities exposed in a 1-2 domestic loss to Danubio last weekend, compounded by injuries to key right-back Emiliano Ancheta (muscle tear) and striker Gonzalo Carneiro, potentially weakening their away lineup. The 30.5% draw pricing underscores a closely contested matchup, with Tolima's altitude edge and recent momentum tilting sentiment despite Nacional's head-to-head edge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions