Trader consensus on the Copa Libertadores winner remains tightly bunched after Matchday 3 of the group stage, with Corinthians leading at 49.1% implied probability following their perfect record—two wins, clean sheets, capped by a 2-0 home victory over Peñarol highlighted by Jesse Lingard's goal. Rosario Central (47.1%) and Cerro Porteño (47.1%) share strong positioning atop Groups H and F respectively, the former with 7 points and a flawless defense including a 3-0 away rout of Universidad Central, while Lanús, Mirassol, and Independiente Rivadavia also co-lead their groups at 6 points. Palmeiras and Flamengo trail slightly despite solid form (5 and 7 points), reflecting the parity across balanced groups where top-two advancement hinges on remaining fixtures, home advantages, and goal difference in a wide-open race with three matchdays left.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLanús 46.1%
LDU Quito 4.0%
Junior <1%
Flamengo 0
Lanús
46%
LDU Quito
4%
Junior
10%
Flamengo
47%
Palmeiras
46%
Universidad Católica
46%
Boca Juniors
42%
Rosario Central
47%
Peñarol
45%
Santa Fe
45%
Nacional
48%
Always Ready
45%
Universidad Central
45%
Libertad
47%
Platense
45%
Cerro Porteño
45%
Independiente Rivadavia
45%
Estudiantes LP
45%
Mirassol
45%
Corinthians
49%
Independiente Medellín
46%
Bolívar
48%
Lanús 46.1%
LDU Quito 4.0%
Junior <1%
Flamengo 0
Lanús
46%
LDU Quito
4%
Junior
10%
Flamengo
47%
Palmeiras
46%
Universidad Católica
46%
Boca Juniors
42%
Rosario Central
47%
Peñarol
45%
Santa Fe
45%
Nacional
48%
Always Ready
45%
Universidad Central
45%
Libertad
47%
Platense
45%
Cerro Porteño
45%
Independiente Rivadavia
45%
Estudiantes LP
45%
Mirassol
45%
Corinthians
49%
Independiente Medellín
46%
Bolívar
48%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 11:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Copa Libertadores per the rules of Copa Libertadores (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Copa Libertadores; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Copa Libertadores winner remains tightly bunched after Matchday 3 of the group stage, with Corinthians leading at 49.1% implied probability following their perfect record—two wins, clean sheets, capped by a 2-0 home victory over Peñarol highlighted by Jesse Lingard's goal. Rosario Central (47.1%) and Cerro Porteño (47.1%) share strong positioning atop Groups H and F respectively, the former with 7 points and a flawless defense including a 3-0 away rout of Universidad Central, while Lanús, Mirassol, and Independiente Rivadavia also co-lead their groups at 6 points. Palmeiras and Flamengo trail slightly despite solid form (5 and 7 points), reflecting the parity across balanced groups where top-two advancement hinges on remaining fixtures, home advantages, and goal difference in a wide-open race with three matchdays left.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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