Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 75% implied probability against Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet getting engaged in 2026, driven primarily by the absence of any confirmed public announcement, ring sighting, or official statement despite early-year tabloid reports of "engagement talks" from anonymous insiders. Their three-year relationship, which began in 2023, remains solid—evidenced by a courtside Knicks playoff date on April 28 and prior PDA at the Oscars afterparty—but has stayed notably private, with Chalamet only soft-launching it publicly in January amid Critics Choice Awards speeches. Recent Coachella appearances fueled speculation without marital confirmation, underscoring high uncertainty in celebrity personal matters as traders await verifiable developments before year-end.