Norway's trader consensus at 75% implied probability stems from their No. 31 FIFA ranking, perfect 8-0 UEFA World Cup qualifying record—including a 4-1 upset win over Italy—and attacking firepower led by Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard, despite the captain's ongoing knee recovery casting minor uncertainty. Iraq, priced at 9.5%, enters as underdogs following their dramatic 2-1 intercontinental playoff victory over Bolivia on April 1 that secured a first World Cup berth in 40 years, boosting momentum via goals from Ali Al-Hamadi and Aymen Hussein. The draw at 16.5% reflects the neutral Gillette Stadium venue and Iraq's resilient recent form against a talent gap favoring the Nordics in this Group I opener.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Iraq wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Iraq wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Norway's trader consensus at 75% implied probability stems from their No. 31 FIFA ranking, perfect 8-0 UEFA World Cup qualifying record—including a 4-1 upset win over Italy—and attacking firepower led by Erling Haaland and Martin Ødegaard, despite the captain's ongoing knee recovery casting minor uncertainty. Iraq, priced at 9.5%, enters as underdogs following their dramatic 2-1 intercontinental playoff victory over Bolivia on April 1 that secured a first World Cup berth in 40 years, boosting momentum via goals from Ali Al-Hamadi and Aymen Hussein. The draw at 16.5% reflects the neutral Gillette Stadium venue and Iraq's resilient recent form against a talent gap favoring the Nordics in this Group I opener.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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